Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
19 Dic 2025, 21:40
19 Dic 2025, 21:40
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 84,2%
Nicolai …: 15,9%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Learner … | Nicolai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,50 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 3,25 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,19 | 6,31 | 84,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Learner …: +11,2%
Nicolai …: -11,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#135
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 108,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,8571 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5805 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1100,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 104,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,1131 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,8427 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0313 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,0486 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,9355 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,2871 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 97,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4433 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,4462 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,2069 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,9338 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,4625 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,9297 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6149 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 90,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 64,6250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 39,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 46,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6092 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5650 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,9836 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 30,2073 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1025 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1274 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 38,2262 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20084
API ID
15222472
Gamdom ID
529660
Torneo
Next Gen Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20084,
"api_id": 15222472,
"gamdom_id": 529660,
"player1": "Learner Tien",
"player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-19T17:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 3.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8415,
"prob_p2": 0.1585,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8415,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 4.857142857142857,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 1100,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.462522894150645,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 89.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.93548387096774,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
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"best_rank_diff": 104,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.580450375560848,
"rank_advantage": 108,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.11310947941589,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.929653906443356,
"p1_surface_matches": 97,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.4462300140252466,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6149080108901908,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 8,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2069004207573641,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.565010353613441,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.983575351755432,
"surface_rank_synergy": 30.20732105487845,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.9337859912548367,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.03125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 64.625,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 38.22621895883178,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 46,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10248593350383628,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12735483870967734,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.8426842684268365,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
},
"feature_importance": {}
}