Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
19 Dic 2025, 21:40
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 84,2% Nicolai …: 15,9%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Nicolai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,50 76,9%
Gamdom 1,34 3,25 74,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,19 6,31 84,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: +11,2% Nicolai …: -11,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #135
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 108,0000
rank_ratio 4,8571
log_rank_ratio 1,5805
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1100,0000
best_rank_diff 104,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,1131
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,8427
surface_matches_ratio 3,0313
surface_tournaments_won_diff 5,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,0486
surface_wr_p2 51,9355
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,2871
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,4444
p1_surface_matches 97,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4433
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,4462
first_serve_won_diff 1,2069
second_serve_won_diff 3,9338
bp_saved_diff 4,4625
bp_converted_diff 15,9297
aces_per_match_diff -1,6149
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 90,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 64,6250
current_streak_diff 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 39,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 46,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6092
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,5650
serve_consistency_p2 11,9836
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 30,2073
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1025
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1274
elite_surface_amplifier 38,2262
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,9282
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20084
API ID 15222472
Gamdom ID 529660
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20084,
    "api_id": 15222472,
    "gamdom_id": 529660,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-19T17:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8415,
    "prob_p2": 0.1585,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8415,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_p2": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 4.857142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 1100,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.462522894150645,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 89.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.93548387096774,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 104,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.580450375560848,
    "rank_advantage": 108,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.11310947941589,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.929653906443356,
    "p1_surface_matches": 97,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.4462300140252466,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6149080108901908,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 8,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.2069004207573641,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.565010353613441,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.983575351755432,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 30.20732105487845,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.9337859912548367,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.03125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 64.625,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 38.22621895883178,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 46,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10248593350383628,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12735483870967734,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.8426842684268365,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}