Learner Tien vs Martin Landaluce
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 21:35
18 Dic 2025, 21:35
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 72,9%
Martin …: 27,1%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 14,49
(+1,31)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Learner … | Martin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,50 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,27 | 3,85 | 78,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,69 | 72,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Learner …: -6,0%
Martin …: +6,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Martin Landaluce
Ranking
#149
UTR Rating
14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#176
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 106,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,7857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5656 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1095,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 82,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,5523 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,7736 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,0486 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,4963 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,2871 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,5135 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 97,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 70,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4433 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,5017 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,2496 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1903 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,7523 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0467 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5670 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 49,3150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 39,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 51,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6092 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7059 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5650 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4569 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,2585 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1045 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2510 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 13,1046 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7741 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,5986 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20085
API ID
15222477
Gamdom ID
529661
Torneo
Next Gen Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20085,
"api_id": 15222477,
"gamdom_id": 529661,
"player1": "Learner Tien",
"player2": "Martin Landaluce",
"tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-18T17:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.83
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7293,
"prob_p2": 0.2707,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7293,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 149,
"utr_singles": 14.49,
"utr_ranking": 176,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.57,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 176,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7741176470588236,
"utr_diff": 1.3100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 4.785714285714286,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 1095,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.7523039268052116,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 69.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.4963144963145,
"utr_advantage": 8.59862159501149,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 82,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5656352897757073,
"rank_advantage": 106,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.5522788540691295,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.046737999333907,
"p1_surface_matches": 97,
"p2_surface_matches": 70,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.5017279136844337,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5670202404217743,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 7,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.2495630808674179,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.565010353613441,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.456929711295863,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.258479002381762,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.51351351351351,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.190313691976087,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 49.315,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 13.104557708138259,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 51,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10448593350383628,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.250963144963145,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.773615199357771,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
},
"feature_importance": {}
}