Learner Tien vs Martin Landaluce
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 21:35
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 72,9% Martin …: 27,1%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 14,49 (+1,31) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Martin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,50 83,3%
Gamdom 1,27 3,85 78,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,37 3,69 72,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: -6,0% Martin …: +6,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Martin Landaluce
Ranking #149
UTR Rating 14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #176
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 106,0000
rank_ratio 4,7857
log_rank_ratio 1,5656
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1095,0000
best_rank_diff 82,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,5523
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,7736
surface_matches_ratio 1,3857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 5,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,0486
surface_wr_p2 64,4963
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,2871
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,5135
p1_surface_matches 97,0000
p2_surface_matches 70,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4433
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,5017
first_serve_won_diff -1,2496
second_serve_won_diff 4,1903
bp_saved_diff -2,7523
bp_converted_diff 9,0467
aces_per_match_diff -0,5670
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 70,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 49,3150
current_streak_diff 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 39,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 51,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6092
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7059
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4348
serve_consistency_p1 6,5650
serve_consistency_p2 7,4569
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,2585
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1045
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2510
elite_surface_amplifier 13,1046
UTR
utr_diff 1,3100
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,7741
utr_advantage 8,5986
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20085
API ID 15222477
Gamdom ID 529661
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20085,
    "api_id": 15222477,
    "gamdom_id": 529661,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Martin Landaluce",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-18T17:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.83
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7293,
    "prob_p2": 0.2707,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7293,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 149,
      "utr_singles": 14.49,
      "utr_ranking": 176,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.49,
      "ranking": 176,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7741176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 1.3100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 4.785714285714286,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 1095,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.7523039268052116,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 69.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.4963144963145,
    "utr_advantage": 8.59862159501149,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 82,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5656352897757073,
    "rank_advantage": 106,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.5522788540691295,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.046737999333907,
    "p1_surface_matches": 97,
    "p2_surface_matches": 70,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.5017279136844337,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5670202404217743,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 7,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.2495630808674179,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.565010353613441,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.456929711295863,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.258479002381762,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.51351351351351,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.190313691976087,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3857142857142857,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 49.315,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 13.104557708138259,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 51,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10448593350383628,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.250963144963145,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.773615199357771,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}