Martin Landaluce vs Rafael Jodar
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
19 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Landaluce
Martin …: 64,1% Rafael …: 35,9%
¿Por qué Martin Landaluce?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Martin … Rafael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,53 40,0%
Gamdom 2,47 1,55 40,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,78 64,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Martin …: +26,1% Rafael …: -26,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Landaluce
Ranking #149
UTR Rating 14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #176
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking #150
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 1,2537
log_rank_ratio 0,2261
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 106,0000
best_rank_diff 56,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,6445
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,0619
surface_matches_ratio 2,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,4963
surface_wr_p2 51,8519
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,5135
surface_wr_p2_stable 68,7500
p1_surface_matches 70,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,0333
first_serve_won_diff 5,2213
second_serve_won_diff 0,5899
bp_saved_diff 6,5409
bp_converted_diff -4,6468
aces_per_match_diff 0,6228
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,0667
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 55,5556
momentum_diff -25,5556
weighted_momentum_diff -15,9817
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 51,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 134,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 7,4569
serve_consistency_p2 0,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,8592
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1110
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0525
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7741
utr_p2 0,7741
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20086
API ID 15222469
Gamdom ID 529658
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20086,
    "api_id": 15222469,
    "gamdom_id": 529658,
    "player1": "Martin Landaluce",
    "player2": "Rafael Jodar",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-19T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.47,
      "p2": 1.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.52,
      "p2": 1.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6409,
    "prob_p2": 0.3591,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6409,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 149,
      "utr_singles": 14.49,
      "utr_ranking": 176,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.49,
      "ranking": 176,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7741176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.7741176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2537313432835822,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "points_diff": 106,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.540920010920011,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666665,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -25.555555555555554,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.4963144963145,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 56,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2261241794523476,
    "rank_advantage": 34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.64446264446265,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.6468331968331995,
    "p1_surface_matches": 70,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.033299572299569,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6228410228410222,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.221302211302216,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.456929711295863,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.859218740094978,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.51351351351351,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.5898880698880618,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.98166666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 51,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 134,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11096314496314497,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05251851851851852,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.061936936936942,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}