Martin Landaluce vs Rafael Jodar
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
19 Dic 2025, 20:00
19 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Landaluce
Martin …: 64,1%
Rafael …: 35,9%
¿Por qué Martin Landaluce?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Martin … | Rafael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,53 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,47 | 1,55 | 40,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,78 | 64,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Martin …: +26,1%
Rafael …: -26,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Landaluce
Ranking
#149
UTR Rating
14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#176
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking
#150
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2537 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2261 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 106,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 56,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,6445 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,0619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,4963 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,5135 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 70,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,0333 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,2213 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5899 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,5409 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,6468 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6228 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_diff | -25,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,9817 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 51,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 134,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4569 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,8592 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1110 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0525 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7741 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20086
API ID
15222469
Gamdom ID
529658
Torneo
Next Gen Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20086,
"api_id": 15222469,
"gamdom_id": 529658,
"player1": "Martin Landaluce",
"player2": "Rafael Jodar",
"tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-19T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.47,
"p2": 1.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.52,
"p2": 1.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6409,
"prob_p2": 0.3591,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6409,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 149,
"utr_singles": 14.49,
"utr_ranking": 176,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.49,
"ranking": 176,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7741176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.7741176470588236,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.2537313432835822,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"points_diff": 106,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.540920010920011,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666665,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -25.555555555555554,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.4963144963145,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 56,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2261241794523476,
"rank_advantage": 34,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.64446264446265,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.6468331968331995,
"p1_surface_matches": 70,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.033299572299569,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6228410228410222,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.221302211302216,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.456929711295863,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.859218740094978,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.51351351351351,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.5898880698880618,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.98166666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 51,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 134,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11096314496314497,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05251851851851852,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.061936936936942,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}