Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodar
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 20:00
18 Dic 2025, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rafael Jodar
Nicolai …: 45,2%
Rafael …: 54,8%
¿Por qué Rafael Jodar?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolai … | Rafael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,06 | 1,77 | 48,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,21 | 1,83 | 45,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nicolai …: +5,5%
Rafael …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#135
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
25/35 = 71,4%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking
#150
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2353 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2113 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 101,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0836 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,6713 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,9355 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4375 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,9778 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,7648 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,8464 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,6739 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,5297 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6707 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_diff | -45,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -31,2917 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 46,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 134,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,9836 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0177 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0126 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0505 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20087
API ID
15222473
Gamdom ID
529659
Torneo
Next Gen Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20087,
"api_id": 15222473,
"gamdom_id": 529659,
"player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"player2": "Rafael Jodar",
"tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-18T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.06,
"p2": 1.77
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4523,
"prob_p2": 0.5477,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5477,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.0,
"utr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.2352941176470589,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"points_diff": 101,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.6739068100358452,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -45.55555555555556,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.93548387096774,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.21130909366720696,
"rank_advantage": 32,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.08363201911588902,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.529749103942649,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.977801672640382,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6707287933094386,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.7648387096774343,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.983575351755432,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.017672206160937037,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.8464157706093118,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1428571428571428,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -31.29166666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 46,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 134,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01264516129032267,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05051851851851852,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.6712962962962947,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}