Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodar
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rafael Jodar
Nicolai …: 45,2% Rafael …: 54,8%
¿Por qué Rafael Jodar?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nicolai … Rafael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 2,06 1,77 48,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,21 1,83 45,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Nicolai …: +5,5% Rafael …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #135
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 25/35 = 71,4%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking #150
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 32,0000
rank_ratio 1,2353
log_rank_ratio 0,2113
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 101,0000
best_rank_diff 34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0836
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,6713
surface_matches_ratio 1,1429
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,9355
surface_wr_p2 51,8519
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 68,7500
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4375
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,9778
first_serve_won_diff 2,7648
second_serve_won_diff 0,8464
bp_saved_diff -0,6739
bp_converted_diff -11,5297
aces_per_match_diff 1,6707
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2667
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 55,5556
momentum_diff -45,5556
weighted_momentum_diff -31,2917
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 46,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 134,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 11,9836
serve_consistency_p2 0,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0177
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0126
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0505
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20087
API ID 15222473
Gamdom ID 529659
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20087,
    "api_id": 15222473,
    "gamdom_id": 529659,
    "player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "player2": "Rafael Jodar",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-18T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.06,
      "p2": 1.77
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.05,
      "p2": 1.78
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4523,
    "prob_p2": 0.5477,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5477,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2352941176470589,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "points_diff": 101,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.6739068100358452,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -45.55555555555556,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.93548387096774,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 34,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.21130909366720696,
    "rank_advantage": 32,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.08363201911588902,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.529749103942649,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.977801672640382,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6707287933094386,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.7648387096774343,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4375,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.983575351755432,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.017672206160937037,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.8464157706093118,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1428571428571428,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -31.29166666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 46,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 134,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01264516129032267,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05051851851851852,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.6712962962962947,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}