Nuno Pinheiro vs Tomas Pinho
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 00:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Pinho
Nuno …: 39,3% Tomas …: 60,7%
¿Por qué Tomas Pinho?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,19 (-1,25) — Ligera ventaja
Nuno …
W27-L8
77% WR
vs UTR 11,4
W2
Tomas …
W37-L14
73% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nuno … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,23 1,23 31,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,55 1,65 39,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuno Pinheiro
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3544
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tomas Pinho
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,19 General
UTR Ranking #1116
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nuno Pinheiro
Record 2025 27W - 8L (77%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 11,4
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Tomas Pinho
Record 2025 37W - 14L (73%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Tomas Pinho en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -32,0800
first_serve_won_diff -42,3000
second_serve_won_diff -23,1000
bp_saved_diff -81,8000
bp_converted_diff -20,0000
aces_per_match_diff -2,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff -57,1429
weighted_momentum_diff -42,8571
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,1526
serve_consistency_p2 21,7033
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2500
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6176
utr_advantage -9,9010
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20105
API ID 15235886
Gamdom ID 537283
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20105,
    "api_id": 15235886,
    "gamdom_id": 537283,
    "player1": "Nuno Pinheiro",
    "player2": "Tomas Pinho",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T20:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.23,
      "p2": 1.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.85,
      "p2": 1.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3929,
    "prob_p2": 0.6071,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6071,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3544,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 8,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.14285714285715,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.38,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Youssef Labbene"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Facundo Perlov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Pablo Martinez Gomez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Callum Markowitz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matthew Nice"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:03.921601+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.19,
      "utr_ranking": 1116,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 14,
      "utr_v4_wr": 72.54901960784314,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.29,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zachery Foster"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matthis Ross"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Samuel Agbesi Osei ANTWI"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gordon Gallagher"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Valentino De Pellegrin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:50.963667+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3544,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.19,
      "ranking": 1116,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -1.25,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -81.8,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -57.14285714285715,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -9.900990099009901,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -32.08,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -42.3,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.152600820191518,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 21.7032967032967,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -23.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -42.85714285714286,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}