Sebastián Báez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Semifinals
23 Feb 2025, 00:00
23 Feb 2025, 00:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastián … | Camilo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#36
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
14/27 = 51,9%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
22/36 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 13,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3611 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3083 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 362,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,7797 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,4611 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5625 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1296 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,9094 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1940 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,6552 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 63,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 112,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2381 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,3761 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,7900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,5400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4715 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8242 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5417 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5405 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8965 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,5229 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,7819 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0583 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1421 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2012
API ID
13463116
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rio de Janeiro
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2012,
"api_id": 13463116,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"player2": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"tournament": "Rio de Janeiro",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-02-22T20:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 36,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.77,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 13,
"rank_ratio": 1.3611111111111112,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.30830135965451666,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 362,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.779727095516577,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.4611425630468418,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.12962962962962,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.909356725146196,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.19402985074627,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.65517241379311,
"p1_surface_matches": 63,
"p2_surface_matches": 112,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23809523809523808,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.3760799220272872,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.789999999999992,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.539999999999992,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5799999999999912,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5100000000000122,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.47153996101364504,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 8,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8241758241758241,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5416666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5405405405405406,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.896516593680826,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.5228758169934679,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.7818977219798111,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05829629629629618,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14209356725146194,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}