Nikolas Baker vs Jera Staley
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard | Semifinals
19 Dic 2025, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikolas Baker
Nikolas …: 55,3% Jera …: 44,7%
¿Por qué Nikolas Baker?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 (+1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Nikolas …
Sin datos
Jera …
W28-L33
46% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L7
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikolas … Jera … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,81 2,24 55,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikolas Baker
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #188
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Jera Staley
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3782
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nikolas Baker
Sin datos UTR v4
Jera Staley
Record 2025 28W - 33L (46%)
Racha 7L
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 71,4286
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -28,5714
weighted_momentum_diff -21,4286
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 9,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,5615
serve_consistency_p2 6,0165
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 8,6957
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20124
API ID 15237677
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20124,
    "api_id": 15237677,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Nikolas Baker",
    "player2": "Jera Staley",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-18T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5526,
    "prob_p2": 0.4474,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5526,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 188,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3782,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 28,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 45.90163934426229,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 7,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.58,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.52,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Bruce-Smith"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Ashton McLeod"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Asher Brownrigg"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oliver Wilcox"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca CONNAUGHTON"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:52.148105+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 188,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3782,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 9,
    "momentum_diff": -28.571428571428555,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.695652173913043,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.561532826153513,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.0164752030518045,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.42857142857143,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}