Kaylah McPhee vs Mahta Khanloo
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 02 | Hard | Semifinals
19 Dic 2025, 03:40
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kaylah McPhee
Kaylah …: 73,9% Mahta …: 26,1%
¿Por qué Kaylah McPhee?
UTR 10,31 vs 9,00 (+2,23) — Ventaja clara
Kaylah …
W116-L13
90% WR
vs UTR 9,0
W9
Mahta …
W12-L12
50% WR
vs UTR 8,4
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kaylah … Mahta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,05 8,50 95,2%
Gamdom 1,01 6,62 99,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,83 73,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Kaylah …: -15,1% Mahta …: +15,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kaylah McPhee
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #907
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Mahta Khanloo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3632
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kaylah McPhee
Record 2025 116W - 13L (90%)
Racha 9W
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Mahta Khanloo
Record 2025 12W - 12L (50%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,4
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Kaylah McPhee en racha: 9 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,4310
surface_matches_ratio 7,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 12,0000
surface_wr_p1 18,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,2182
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 45,5500
first_serve_won_diff 57,6900
second_serve_won_diff 47,3500
bp_saved_diff 54,8300
bp_converted_diff 38,8200
aces_per_match_diff 1,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 9,0000
match_load_p2 9,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,3705
serve_consistency_p2 10,6487
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3200
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,2300
utr_p1 0,2624
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 24,4652
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20125
API ID 15237668
Gamdom ID 537790
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Women 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20125,
    "api_id": 15237668,
    "gamdom_id": 537790,
    "player1": "Kaylah McPhee",
    "player2": "Mahta Khanloo",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-18T23:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 6.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7391,
    "prob_p2": 0.2609,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7391,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.31,
      "utr_ranking": 907,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 116,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 89.92248062015504,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 9,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emily Reed"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Marta Pozaroszczyk"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Madison Bioletti"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:09.543707+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3632,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 12,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.38,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shanelle Iaconi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jessie culley"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anja DOKIC"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vesna Marinkov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.62,
          "opponent_name": "Shiho Tsujioka"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.530365+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.31,
      "ranking": 907,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3632,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.2623529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 2.2300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 54.83,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 9,
    "match_load_p2": 9,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 18.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 24.465167306637415,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 38.82,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 45.55,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 57.69,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.370450752467612,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.648726713841219,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.21818181818182,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 47.349999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.32,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.431030303030303,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 12
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}