Li Tu vs Charlie Pade
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard | Semifinals
19 Dic 2025, 02:00
19 Dic 2025, 02:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Li Tu
Li …: 87,4%
Charlie …: 12,6%
¿Por qué Li Tu?
UTR 14,22 vs 12,00
(+2,32)
— Ventaja clara
Li …
Sin datos
Charlie …
W46-L26
64% WR
vs UTR 11,2
W1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Li … | Charlie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,02 | 11,00 | 98,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,00 | 8,33 | 100,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,14 | 7,91 | 87,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Li …: -4,2%
Charlie …: +4,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Li Tu
Ranking
#394
UTR Rating
14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#276
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/23 = 39,1%
Charlie Pade
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2765
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Li Tu
Sin datos UTR v4
Charlie Pade
Record 2025
46W - 26L (64%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
11,2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 166,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4970 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4035 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 152,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 340,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 44,7913 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,2662 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 73,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,7913 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,9481 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0411 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 62,8884 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 70,0316 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 51,8796 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 60,2692 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 34,0984 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,1543 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,0990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5797 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8404 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,6226 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,0718 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2181 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3340 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 2,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 17,6292 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20135
API ID
15237674
Gamdom ID
537800
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20135,
"api_id": 15237674,
"gamdom_id": 537800,
"player1": "Li Tu",
"player2": "Charlie Pade",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-18T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 11.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.0,
"p2": 8.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 11.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8736,
"prob_p2": 0.1264,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8736,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 394,
"utr_singles": 14.22,
"utr_ranking": 276,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2765,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 46,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.888888888888886,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.17,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Shugo Ishigaki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Scott Jones"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.44,
"opponent_name": "Noah Brownrigg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Marvin BUYTAERT"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Andre Filep"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:47.092797+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.22,
"ranking": 276,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2765,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 2.3200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.4970059880239521,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 152,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 60.2692,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 10,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.791304347826085,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 17.629179331306993,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 340,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.40346710544549136,
"rank_advantage": 166,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_diff": 44.791304347826085,
"bp_converted_diff": 34.0984,
"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 62.888375652173906,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5797101449275363,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.154347826086957,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 70.0316,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0410958904109589,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.840381267588513,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.622637570984525,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.07181791434544,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.94805194805194,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 51.879599999999996,
"surface_matches_ratio": 73.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.09899999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2180869565217391,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3340000000000001,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2662337662337613,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}