Li Tu vs Charlie Pade
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard | Semifinals
19 Dic 2025, 02:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Li Tu
Li …: 87,4% Charlie …: 12,6%
¿Por qué Li Tu?
UTR 14,22 vs 12,00 (+2,32) — Ventaja clara
Li …
Sin datos
Charlie …
W46-L26
64% WR
vs UTR 11,2
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Li … Charlie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,02 11,00 98,0%
Gamdom 1,00 8,33 100,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 7,91 87,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Li …: -4,2% Charlie …: +4,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Li Tu
Ranking #394
UTR Rating 14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking #276
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/23 = 39,1%
Charlie Pade
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2765
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Li Tu
Sin datos UTR v4
Charlie Pade
Record 2025 46W - 26L (64%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,2
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 166,0000
rank_ratio 1,4970
log_rank_ratio 0,4035
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 152,0000
best_rank_diff 340,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 44,7913
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,2662
surface_matches_ratio 73,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,7913
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,9481
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 73,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0411
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 62,8884
first_serve_won_diff 70,0316
second_serve_won_diff 51,8796
bp_saved_diff 60,2692
bp_converted_diff 34,0984
aces_per_match_diff 6,1543
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,0990
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 10,0000
match_load_diff -6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5797
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4545
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,8404
serve_consistency_p2 10,6226
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,0718
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2181
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3340
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,3200
utr_p1 0,7435
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 17,6292
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20135
API ID 15237674
Gamdom ID 537800
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20135,
    "api_id": 15237674,
    "gamdom_id": 537800,
    "player1": "Li Tu",
    "player2": "Charlie Pade",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-18T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 11.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.0,
      "p2": 8.33
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 11.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8736,
    "prob_p2": 0.1264,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8736,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 394,
      "utr_singles": 14.22,
      "utr_ranking": 276,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2765,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 46,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.888888888888886,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.17,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shugo Ishigaki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Scott Jones"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.44,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Brownrigg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Marvin BUYTAERT"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andre Filep"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:47.092797+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.22,
      "ranking": 276,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2765,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7435294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 2.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4970059880239521,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 152,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 60.2692,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 10,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.791304347826085,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 17.629179331306993,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 340,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.40346710544549136,
    "rank_advantage": 166,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 44.791304347826085,
    "bp_converted_diff": 34.0984,
    "p1_surface_matches": 73,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 62.888375652173906,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5797101449275363,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.154347826086957,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 70.0316,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0410958904109589,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.840381267588513,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.622637570984525,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.07181791434544,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.94805194805194,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 51.879599999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 73.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.09899999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2180869565217391,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3340000000000001,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2662337662337613,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}