Matija Pecotic vs Jonathan Irwanto
UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10 | Hard | Quarterfinals
19 Dic 2025, 20:00
19 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matija Pecotic
Matija …: 65,8%
Jonathan …: 34,2%
¿Por qué Matija Pecotic?
UTR 13,25 vs 12,00
(+1,16)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matija … | Jonathan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,33 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 3,58 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,52 | 2,92 | 65,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Matija …: -12,5%
Jonathan …: +12,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matija Pecotic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#880
Forma L5
100% (3p)
Forma L10
100% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Jonathan Irwanto
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2311
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | 33,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0030 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4856 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,2210 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20145
API ID
15248674
Gamdom ID
540205
Torneo
UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20145,
"api_id": 15248674,
"gamdom_id": 540205,
"player1": "Matija Pecotic",
"player2": "Jonathan Irwanto",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-19T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 3.58
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.658,
"prob_p2": 0.342,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.658,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.25,
"utr_ranking": 880,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2311,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.25,
"ranking": 880,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2311,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6070588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 1.1600000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 33.333333333333314,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 9.220985691573928,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.002958606886277,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.485558879635459,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}