Danny Flynn vs Davide Tortora
UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10 | Hard | Quarterfinals
19 Dic 2025, 23:05
19 Dic 2025, 23:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Danny Flynn
Danny …: 50,5%
Davide …: 49,5%
¿Por qué Danny Flynn?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,00
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Danny … | Davide … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 7,00 | 1,08 | 14,3% |
| Gamdom | 6,37 | 1,04 | 15,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,98 | 2,02 | 50,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Danny …: +37,1%
Davide …: -37,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Danny Flynn
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#6737
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Davide Tortora
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1706
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0833 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,8163 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_diff | 7,4830 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,6122 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0277 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,6208 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3346 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3346 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20151
API ID
15249013
Gamdom ID
540274
Torneo
UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20151,
"api_id": 15249013,
"gamdom_id": 540274,
"player1": "Danny Flynn",
"player2": "Davide Tortora",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-19T19:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.0833333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 6.37,
"p2": 1.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.2,
"p2": 1.07
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5053,
"prob_p2": 0.4947,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5053,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 6737,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1706,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 6737,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1706,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.33464651039497373,
"utr_p2": 0.33464651039497373,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.816326530612244,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.08333333333333331,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.482993197278915,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.027724170325177,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.620786100552538,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.612244897959187,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}