Li Tu vs Matthew Dellavedova
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard | Final
20 Dic 2025, 03:00
20 Dic 2025, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Li Tu
Li …: 60,0%
Matthew …: 40,1%
¿Por qué Li Tu?
UTR 14,22 vs 13,49
(+0,89)
— Niveles similares
Li …
Sin datos
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Li … | Matthew … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 4,50 | 85,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 3,14 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,67 | 2,50 | 60,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Li …: -19,5%
Matthew …: +19,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Li Tu
Ranking
#394
UTR Rating
14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#276
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/23 = 39,1%
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking
#437
UTR Rating
13,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#700
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Li Tu
Sin datos UTR v4
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025
43W - 35L (55%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 103,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3084 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2688 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 44,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 174,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,9580 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,9558 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,4762 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,7913 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 30,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,9481 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0411 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,3729 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,4916 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,8946 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,3692 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,3466 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,2793 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5797 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9749 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,1853 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,7518 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1551 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0887 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6388 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,4144 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20153
API ID
15249919
Gamdom ID
540387
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20153,
"api_id": 15249919,
"gamdom_id": 540387,
"player1": "Li Tu",
"player2": "Matthew Dellavedova",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-19T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 3.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5995,
"prob_p2": 0.4005,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5995,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 394,
"utr_singles": 14.22,
"utr_ranking": 276,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 437,
"utr_singles": 13.49,
"utr_ranking": 700,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.91,
"opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.4,
"opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.45,
"opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.2,
"opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.22,
"ranking": 276,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.49,
"ranking": 700,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7435294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.6388235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.8900000000000006,
"rank_ratio": 1.3083832335329342,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 44,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.3692,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 11,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.791304347826085,
"surface_wr_p2": 30.83333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 6.414414414414418,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 174,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.26879220211888977,
"rank_advantage": 103,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.957971014492756,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.346599999999995,
"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.372875652173903,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5797101449275363,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.279347826086957,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.491599999999991,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0410958904109589,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.974908616391755,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.185308252371332,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.751793766097142,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.94805194805194,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.894600000000004,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.4761904761904763,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15508695652173915,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08866666666666673,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.955844155844147,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}