Li Tu vs Matthew Dellavedova
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard | Final
20 Dic 2025, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Li Tu
Li …: 60,0% Matthew …: 40,1%
¿Por qué Li Tu?
UTR 14,22 vs 13,49 (+0,89) — Niveles similares
Li …
Sin datos
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Li … Matthew … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 4,50 85,7%
Gamdom 1,24 3,14 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,67 2,50 60,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Li …: -19,5% Matthew …: +19,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Li Tu
Ranking #394
UTR Rating 14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking #276
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/23 = 39,1%
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking #437
UTR Rating 13,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #700
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Li Tu
Sin datos UTR v4
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025 43W - 35L (55%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13,4
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 103,0000
rank_ratio 1,3084
log_rank_ratio 0,2688
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 44,0000
best_rank_diff 174,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,9580
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,9558
surface_matches_ratio 3,4762
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,7913
surface_wr_p2 30,8333
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,9481
surface_wr_p2_stable 32,0000
p1_surface_matches 73,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0411
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,3729
first_serve_won_diff 6,4916
second_serve_won_diff 1,8946
bp_saved_diff 10,3692
bp_converted_diff -10,3466
aces_per_match_diff 4,2793
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 11,0000
match_load_diff -6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5797
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4545
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,9749
serve_consistency_p2 14,1853
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,7518
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1551
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0887
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8900
utr_p1 0,7435
utr_p2 0,6388
utr_advantage 6,4144
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20153
API ID 15249919
Gamdom ID 540387
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20153,
    "api_id": 15249919,
    "gamdom_id": 540387,
    "player1": "Li Tu",
    "player2": "Matthew Dellavedova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-19T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 3.14
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5995,
    "prob_p2": 0.4005,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5995,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 394,
      "utr_singles": 14.22,
      "utr_ranking": 276,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 437,
      "utr_singles": 13.49,
      "utr_ranking": 700,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.91,
          "opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.4,
          "opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.45,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.22,
      "ranking": 276,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.49,
      "ranking": 700,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7435294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.6388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.8900000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3083832335329342,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 44,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.3692,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 11,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.791304347826085,
    "surface_wr_p2": 30.83333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 6.414414414414418,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 174,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.26879220211888977,
    "rank_advantage": 103,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.957971014492756,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.346599999999995,
    "p1_surface_matches": 73,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.372875652173903,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5797101449275363,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.279347826086957,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.491599999999991,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0410958904109589,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.974908616391755,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.185308252371332,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.751793766097142,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.94805194805194,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.894600000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.4761904761904763,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15508695652173915,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08866666666666673,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.955844155844147,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}