Michael Wright vs Kristof Minarik
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02 | Hard | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 01:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Michael Wright
Michael …: 54,9% Kristof …: 45,1%
¿Por qué Michael Wright?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 (+0,48) — Niveles similares
Michael …
W14-L17
45% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W1
Kristof …
W23-L14
62% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michael … Kristof … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 54,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Michael …: +13,8% Kristof …: -13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Wright
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2341
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 22% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Kristof Minarik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2081
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Michael Wright
Record 2025 14W - 17L (45%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Kristof Minarik
Record 2025 23W - 14L (62%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Kristof Minarik ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 28,5714
momentum_diff 21,4286
weighted_momentum_diff 16,0714
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 9,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,7987
serve_consistency_p2 15,2569
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4774
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4144
utr_advantage 4,0591
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20165
API ID 15249994
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20165,
    "api_id": 15249994,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Michael Wright",
    "player2": "Kristof Minarik",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-19T21:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5493,
    "prob_p2": 0.4507,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5493,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2341,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 14,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 45.16129032258064,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.73,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sergej Zivkovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Sec"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jordan Chang"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Andreas Timini"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:48.828680+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 22.22222222222222,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2081,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 14,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.16216216216216,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.24,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Diogo Morais"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Adrien Berrut"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.44,
          "opponent_name": "Luca Matteo Sobbe"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Semen Aginskiy"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.22,
          "opponent_name": "David Petrovic"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.890351+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2341,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2081,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.41442257408030114,
    "utr_diff": 0.47740812031744007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.571428571428577,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 9,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 21.428571428571423,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.0591455461997565,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.79871379463516,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.256856056971923,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.07142857142857,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}