Evan Vasiliadis vs James Girdler
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard | Final
20 Dic 2025, 03:00
20 Dic 2025, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
James Girdler
Evan …: 43,2%
James …: 56,8%
¿Por qué James Girdler?
UTR 11,00 vs 11,00
(+0,24)
— Niveles similares
Evan …
W57-L11
84% WR
vs UTR 10,3
L1
James …
W27-L14
66% WR
vs UTR 10,8
W3
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Evan … | James … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2,31 | 1,76 | 43,2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Evan Vasiliadis
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#283
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
James Girdler
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#4958
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Evan Vasiliadis
Record 2025
57W - 11L (84%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,3
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
James Girdler
Record 2025
27W - 14L (66%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,8
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
James Girdler en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -45,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 9,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,7414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2369 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3251 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,1768 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20169
API ID
15249984
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20169,
"api_id": 15249984,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Evan Vasiliadis",
"player2": "James Girdler",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-19T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4322,
"prob_p2": 0.5678,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5678,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 283,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 57,
"utr_v4_losses": 11,
"utr_v4_wr": 83.82352941176471,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.28,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luca CONNAUGHTON"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Baxter ERREY"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Lachlan KING"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Connor MCEVOY"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "Sonny Woodford"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:18.350471+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 4958,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 14,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.85365853658537,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.79,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Oliver Welch"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Oliver Wilcox"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luke McMillan"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Scott Jones"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Haruto Ishikawa"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:48.265079+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 283,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 4958,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.3250738747823265,
"utr_diff": 0.23687206435022468,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
"match_load_p1": 10,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -60.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 2.1768200329531577,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 9,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.7414346132781473,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -45.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}