Evan Vasiliadis vs James Girdler
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard | Final
20 Dic 2025, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
James Girdler
Evan …: 43,2% James …: 56,8%
¿Por qué James Girdler?
UTR 11,00 vs 11,00 (+0,24) — Niveles similares
Evan …
W57-L11
84% WR
vs UTR 10,3
L1
James …
W27-L14
66% WR
vs UTR 10,8
W3
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Evan … James … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,31 1,76 43,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Evan Vasiliadis
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #283
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
James Girdler
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #4958
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Evan Vasiliadis
Record 2025 57W - 11L (84%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
James Girdler
Record 2025 27W - 14L (66%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,8
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Análisis Momentum
James Girdler en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,8000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -45,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 10,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 9,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,7414
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2369
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,3251
utr_advantage 2,1768
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20169
API ID 15249984
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20169,
    "api_id": 15249984,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Evan Vasiliadis",
    "player2": "James Girdler",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-19T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4322,
    "prob_p2": 0.5678,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5678,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 283,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 57,
      "utr_v4_losses": 11,
      "utr_v4_wr": 83.82352941176471,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca CONNAUGHTON"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Baxter ERREY"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lachlan KING"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Connor MCEVOY"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sonny Woodford"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:18.350471+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4958,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 14,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.85365853658537,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oliver Welch"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oliver Wilcox"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luke McMillan"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Scott Jones"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Haruto Ishikawa"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:48.265079+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 283,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 4958,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.3250738747823265,
    "utr_diff": 0.23687206435022468,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 10,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -60.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.1768200329531577,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 9,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.7414346132781473,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -45.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}