Ammar Elamin vs Taiyo Kurata
UTR PTT Saitama Men 04 | Hard | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ammar Elamin
Ammar …: 61,1% Taiyo …: 38,9%
¿Por qué Ammar Elamin?
UTR 12,65 vs 12,00 — Niveles similares
Ammar …
W78-L29
73% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Taiyo …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ammar … Taiyo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,39 2,50 71,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,64 2,57 61,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Ammar …: -3,4% Taiyo …: +3,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ammar Elamin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #1421
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Taiyo Kurata
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2610
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ammar Elamin
Record 2025 78W - 29L (73%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Taiyo Kurata
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 79,5918
momentum_p2 28,5714
momentum_diff 51,0204
weighted_momentum_diff 38,2653
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,0963
serve_consistency_p2 8,6237
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5541
utr_p2 0,5541
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20172
API ID 15250236
Gamdom ID 540453
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Men 04
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20172,
    "api_id": 15250236,
    "gamdom_id": 540453,
    "player1": "Ammar Elamin",
    "player2": "Taiyo Kurata",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 04",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6111,
    "prob_p2": 0.3889,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6111,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.65,
      "utr_ranking": 1421,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 78,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 72.89719626168224,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.45,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Mihai Alexandru Coman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Miles Groom"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Iulius Maximus Stoica"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.18,
          "opponent_name": "Vasile Antonescu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:18.437709+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2610,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.65,
      "ranking": 1421,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2610,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5541176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.5541176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
    "momentum_p2": 28.571428571428577,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 51.020408163265294,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.0962578331886044,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.623701190313714,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 38.265306122448976,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}