Yuka Naito vs Ai Yamaguchi
UTR PTT Saitama Women 02 | Hard | Semifinals
21 Dic 2025, 07:40
21 Dic 2025, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuka Naito
Yuka …: 53,2%
Ai …: 46,8%
¿Por qué Yuka Naito?
UTR 10,17 vs 9,00
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yuka … | Ai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 3,33 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,88 | 2,14 | 53,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yuka …: -15,6%
Ai …: +15,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuka Naito
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#965
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Ai Yamaguchi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2245
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_p2 | 91,8367 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,2449 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,1837 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3718 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4267 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20185
API ID
15250389
Gamdom ID
540619
Torneo
UTR PTT Saitama Women 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20185,
"api_id": 15250389,
"gamdom_id": 540619,
"player1": "Yuka Naito",
"player2": "Ai Yamaguchi",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Women 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-21T03:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 3.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5318,
"prob_p2": 0.4682,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5318,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.17,
"utr_ranking": 965,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2245,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.17,
"ranking": 965,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2245,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.0,
"utr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
"momentum_p2": 91.83673469387755,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -12.244897959183675,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.37179412538504,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.42667624142757,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.183673469387756,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}