Stepan Mruzek vs Adam Jurajda
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08 | Carpet | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 15:10
20 Dic 2025, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stepan Mruzek
Stepan …: 51,1%
Adam …: 48,9%
¿Por qué Stepan Mruzek?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00
(-0,49)
— Niveles similares
Stepan …
W28-L18
61% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W2
Adam …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W4
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stepan … | Adam … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,74 | 1,32 | 36,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,96 | 2,04 | 51,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Stepan …: +10,0%
Adam …: -10,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stepan Mruzek
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2283
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Adam Jurajda
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2061
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stepan Mruzek
Record 2025
28W - 18L (61%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
L
W
Adam Jurajda
Record 2025
29W - 15L (66%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Adam Jurajda en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 59,1837 | |
| momentum_p2 | 59,1837 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7419 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3164 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4892 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4130 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,1615 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20196
API ID
15251053
Gamdom ID
541168
Torneo
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20196,
"api_id": 15251053,
"gamdom_id": 541168,
"player1": "Stepan Mruzek",
"player2": "Adam Jurajda",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-20T11:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.74,
"p2": 1.32
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.74,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5109,
"prob_p2": 0.4891,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5109,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2283,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 28,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.86956521739131,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.72,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "JOSE ALESS HERNANDEZ FRIAS"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luca Miremont"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Richard Biagiotti"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.51,
"opponent_name": "Arda Azkara"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jan Kus\u00fd"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:40.885449+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2061,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.06,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.74,
"opponent_name": "Achilles Belkovics"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.6,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:00.831531+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2283,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2061,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4130357135216246,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": -0.4891964350661908,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 59.183673469387756,
"momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -4.161460783040387,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.7419052122663645,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.316412194769298,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}