Fangyu Shang vs Anastasia Zolotareva
UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 16:00
20 Dic 2025, 16:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Zolotareva
Fangyu …: 16,6%
Anastasia …: 83,4%
¿Por qué Anastasia Zolotareva?
UTR 10,00 vs 11,23
(-1,21)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fangyu … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 6,04 | 1,20 | 16,6% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fangyu Shang
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#150
Forma L5
100% (4p)
Forma L10
100% (4p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Anastasia Zolotareva
Ranking
#308
UTR Rating
11,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#377
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
4/6 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -193,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6140 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4878 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -211,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -257,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,3067 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -44,5767 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -55,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -47,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -38,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -63,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,6842 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7297 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 32,5174 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3070 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0263 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3776 | |
| utr_advantage | -11,4097 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20205
API ID
15251036
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20205,
"api_id": 15251036,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Fangyu Shang",
"player2": "Anastasia Zolotareva",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-20T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1656,
"prob_p2": 0.8344,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8344,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 150,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 308,
"utr_singles": 11.23,
"utr_ranking": 377,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 150,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.23,
"ranking": 377,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.3776470588235295,
"utr_diff": -1.2100000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 0.614,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -211,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -38.3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -11.409712399811417,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -257,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4877603508349946,
"rank_advantage": -193,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -66.66666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": -63.6,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -44.57666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -55.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.684195648842042,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.729682437626112,
"surface_rank_synergy": 32.51735672233297,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -47.20000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4699999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.30700000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02633333333333343,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.306666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}