Natalija Senic vs Helena Stevic
UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Natalija Senic
Natalija …: 68,4% Helena …: 31,6%
¿Por qué Natalija Senic?
UTR 11,13 vs 10,18 (+1,14) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Natalija … Helena … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,08 4,61 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,46 3,16 68,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Natalija Senic
Ranking #347
UTR Rating 11,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #420
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Helena Stevic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #953
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 158,0000
rank_ratio 1,4620
log_rank_ratio 0,3798
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 186,0000
best_rank_diff 162,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0895
serve_consistency_p2 11,8622
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,6580
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3420
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,1400
utr_p1 0,3800
utr_p2 0,2459
utr_advantage 10,6942
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20206
API ID 15251034
Gamdom ID 541114
Torneo UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20206,
    "api_id": 15251034,
    "gamdom_id": 541114,
    "player1": "Natalija Senic",
    "player2": "Helena Stevic",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 4.61
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.12,
      "p2": 5.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6836,
    "prob_p2": 0.3164,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6836,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 347,
      "utr_singles": 11.13,
      "utr_ranking": 420,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.18,
      "utr_ranking": 953,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.13,
      "ranking": 420,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.18,
      "ranking": 953,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.38000000000000006,
    "utr_p2": 0.24588235294117644,
    "utr_diff": 1.1400000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4619883040935673,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 186,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 10.694183864915576,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 162,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.37979736135958664,
    "rank_advantage": 158,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.089538157899479,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.862230744937285,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.6579999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3420000000000001,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}