Maria Ustic vs Andrea Obradovic
UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 12:00
20 Dic 2025, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maria Ustic
Maria …: 65,5%
Andrea …: 34,5%
¿Por qué Maria Ustic?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,15
(+2,70)
— Ventaja clara
Maria …
W36-L22
62% WR
vs UTR 9,2
W3
Andrea …
W34-L32
52% WR
vs UTR 9,7
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,25 | 1,44 | 44,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,90 | 65,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Ustic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1655
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Andrea Obradovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#977
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maria Ustic
Record 2025
36W - 22L (62%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
9,2
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Andrea Obradovic
Record 2025
34W - 32L (52%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Maria Ustic en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 91,8367 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 33,8367 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,3776 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3356 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,7545 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 2,7009 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5660 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2482 | |
| utr_advantage | 23,5672 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20208
API ID
15251027
Gamdom ID
541110
Torneo
UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20208,
"api_id": 15251027,
"gamdom_id": 541110,
"player1": "Maria Ustic",
"player2": "Andrea Obradovic",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-20T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.4,
"p2": 1.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6553,
"prob_p2": 0.3447,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6553,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 1655,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 36,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 62.06896551724138,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.21,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.33,
"opponent_name": "Jian Ibrahim"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Alisa Ziatdinova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Kornelia Krzesniak"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.6,
"opponent_name": "Anna Kubareva"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Kiara Nina Kucikova"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:35.926641+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.15,
"utr_ranking": 977,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 32,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.515151515151516,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.71,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.63,
"opponent_name": "Ekaterina Maklakova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Aleksandra Pospelova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Eva Busaad"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.2,
"opponent_name": "Maria Toma"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:21.586807+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 1655,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.15,
"ranking": 977,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.565989560983665,
"utr_p2": 0.248235294117647,
"utr_diff": 2.7009112683611534,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 91.83673469387755,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 33.83673469387755,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 23.567224153861215,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.335630114579823,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.754514779676727,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.377551020408163,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}