Maria Ustic vs Andrea Obradovic
UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maria Ustic
Maria …: 65,5% Andrea …: 34,5%
¿Por qué Maria Ustic?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,15 (+2,70) — Ventaja clara
Maria …
W36-L22
62% WR
vs UTR 9,2
W3
Andrea …
W34-L32
52% WR
vs UTR 9,7
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maria … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,25 1,44 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,53 2,90 65,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Ustic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1655
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Andrea Obradovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #977
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maria Ustic
Record 2025 36W - 22L (62%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Andrea Obradovic
Record 2025 34W - 32L (52%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Análisis Momentum
Maria Ustic en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 91,8367
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff 33,8367
weighted_momentum_diff 25,3776
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3356
serve_consistency_p2 11,7545
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,7009
utr_p1 0,5660
utr_p2 0,2482
utr_advantage 23,5672
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20208
API ID 15251027
Gamdom ID 541110
Torneo UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20208,
    "api_id": 15251027,
    "gamdom_id": 541110,
    "player1": "Maria Ustic",
    "player2": "Andrea Obradovic",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Belgrade Women 06",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.4,
      "p2": 1.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6553,
    "prob_p2": 0.3447,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6553,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1655,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.06896551724138,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.21,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.33,
          "opponent_name": "Jian Ibrahim"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alisa Ziatdinova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kornelia Krzesniak"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.6,
          "opponent_name": "Anna Kubareva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kiara Nina Kucikova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:35.926641+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.15,
      "utr_ranking": 977,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 32,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.515151515151516,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.71,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.63,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Maklakova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandra Pospelova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Busaad"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.2,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Toma"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:21.586807+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1655,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.15,
      "ranking": 977,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.565989560983665,
    "utr_p2": 0.248235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 2.7009112683611534,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 91.83673469387755,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 33.83673469387755,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 23.567224153861215,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.335630114579823,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.754514779676727,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.377551020408163,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}