Mariia Hlahola vs Diana Marcinkevica
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 13:00
20 Dic 2025, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diana Marcinkevica
Mariia …: 40,7%
Diana …: 59,3%
¿Por qué Diana Marcinkevica?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,19
(-1,21)
— Ligera ventaja
Mariia …
W28-L28
50% WR
vs UTR 9,4
W1
Diana …
W26-L35
43% WR
vs UTR 10,1
W3
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariia … | Diana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,55 | 1,34 | 39,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,46 | 1,69 | 40,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mariia …: +7,0%
Diana …: -7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariia Hlahola
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2196
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Diana Marcinkevica
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#953
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mariia Hlahola
Record 2025
28W - 28L (50%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,4
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Diana Marcinkevica
Record 2025
26W - 35L (43%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Diana Marcinkevica en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7690 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3522 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2600 | |
| utr_advantage | -12,5976 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20220
API ID
15251596
Gamdom ID
541742
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20220,
"api_id": 15251596,
"gamdom_id": 541742,
"player1": "Mariia Hlahola",
"player2": "Diana Marcinkevica",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-20T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.34
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.78,
"p2": 1.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4071,
"prob_p2": 0.5929,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5929,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2196,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 28,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.44,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Charlotte Ruud"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Sara Suchankova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Allie Bittner"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Alessandra Teodosescu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.85,
"opponent_name": "Rinon Okuwaki"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:36.624313+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.19,
"utr_ranking": 953,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 26,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.62295081967213,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.14,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.41,
"opponent_name": "Milana Maslenkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "ALBA SALLES CANUDAS"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.14,
"opponent_name": "Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.19,
"opponent_name": "Alessandra Mazzola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.34,
"opponent_name": "Isabella Harvison"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.571396+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2196,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.19,
"ranking": 953,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.2600000000000001,
"utr_diff": -1.2100000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 9,
"match_load_p2": 10,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -12.597605413846964,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.769007595676875,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.352180868978657,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}