Claudia Hoste Ferrer vs Nikoline Gullacksen
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 13:00
20 Dic 2025, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Claudia Hoste Ferrer
Claudia …: 53,9%
Nikoline …: 46,1%
¿Por qué Claudia Hoste Ferrer?
UTR 9,84 vs 9,00
(-1,26)
— Ligera ventaja
Claudia …
Sin datos
Nikoline …
W18-L23
44% WR
vs UTR 8,6
L4
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Claudia … | Nikoline … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,13 | 3,97 | 88,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,86 | 2,17 | 53,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Claudia …: -21,1%
Nikoline …: +21,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Claudia Hoste Ferrer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1131
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Nikoline Gullacksen
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3612
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Claudia Hoste Ferrer
Sin datos UTR v4
Nikoline Gullacksen
Record 2025
18W - 23L (44%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
8,6
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 61,2245 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 1,2245 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,9184 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,6220 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7037 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2614 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3696 | |
| utr_advantage | -12,0010 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20221
API ID
15251601
Gamdom ID
541746
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20221,
"api_id": 15251601,
"gamdom_id": 541746,
"player1": "Claudia Hoste Ferrer",
"player2": "Nikoline Gullacksen",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-20T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 3.97
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5386,
"prob_p2": 0.4614,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5386,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.84,
"utr_ranking": 1131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 3612,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 18,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 43.90243902439025,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Marie Slamenikova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Liubou Murashka"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.58,
"opponent_name": "Izabela Heinzova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Joanna Strzelecka"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:01.311033+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.84,
"ranking": 1131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 3612,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2211764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.3695752586662254,
"utr_diff": -1.2613896986629154,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 61.22448979591838,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 1.2244897959183731,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -12.001011510130057,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.622030583526979,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.703733548469447,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.9183673469387799,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}