Karla Popovic vs Sarafina Olivia Hansen
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 18:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sarafina Olivia Hansen
Karla …: 47,3% Sarafina …: 52,8%
¿Por qué Sarafina Olivia Hansen?
UTR 9,67 vs 9,81 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Karla …
W10-L10
50% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L6
Sarafina …
W61-L43
59% WR
vs UTR 9,2
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karla … Sarafina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,30 1,42 43,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,12 1,90 47,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Karla …: +11,8% Sarafina …: -11,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karla Popovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #1208
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Sarafina Olivia Hansen
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #1144
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karla Popovic
Record 2025 10W - 10L (50%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Sarafina Olivia Hansen
Record 2025 61W - 43L (59%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 20,4082
momentum_diff 41,5918
weighted_momentum_diff 31,1939
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 10,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 7,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,3989
serve_consistency_p2 2,1914
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,1788
utr_p2 0,2188
utr_advantage -3,5088
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20222
API ID 15251600
Gamdom ID 541748
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20222,
    "api_id": 15251600,
    "gamdom_id": 541748,
    "player1": "Karla Popovic",
    "player2": "Sarafina Olivia Hansen",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T14:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.42
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.22,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4725,
    "prob_p2": 0.5275,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5275,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.67,
      "utr_ranking": 1208,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 10,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.23,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Busaad"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.33,
          "opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Mirjana Jovanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vera Zvonareva"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.725025+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.81,
      "utr_ranking": 1144,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 61,
      "utr_v4_losses": 43,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.65384615384615,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.23,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sophia Izabella Ragus"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasia Yakimova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.2,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Toma"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Mirjana Jovanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.4,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Kalyakina"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:29.433180+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.67,
      "ranking": 1208,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.81,
      "ranking": 1144,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.17882352941176466,
    "utr_p2": 0.21882352941176464,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 20.408163265306122,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.35,
    "match_load_p1": 10,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 41.59183673469389,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.50877192982456,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 7,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.39893631749366,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.191426728264967,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 31.193877551020407,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}