Sara Borkop vs Natalie Salkova
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 18:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sara Borkop
Sara …: 55,7% Natalie …: 44,3%
¿Por qué Sara Borkop?
UTR 9,00 vs 9,00 (+0,34) — Niveles similares
Sara …
W26-L26
50% WR
vs UTR 9,4
L2
Natalie …
W27-L31
47% WR
vs UTR 9,0
L4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sara … Natalie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,57 1,96 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,80 2,26 55,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Sara …: -13,1% Natalie …: +13,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Borkop
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2276
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Natalie Salkova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3189
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sara Borkop
Record 2025 26W - 26L (50%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 9,4
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Natalie Salkova
Record 2025 27W - 31L (47%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 8,1633
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 8,1633
weighted_momentum_diff 6,1224
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,3014
serve_consistency_p2 10,8696
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3363
utr_p1 0,4185
utr_p2 0,3789
utr_advantage 2,9525
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20223
API ID 15251594
Gamdom ID 541751
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20223,
    "api_id": 15251594,
    "gamdom_id": 541751,
    "player1": "Sara Borkop",
    "player2": "Natalie Salkova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T14:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 1.96
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5567,
    "prob_p2": 0.4433,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5567,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2276,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 26,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.4,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Juliana Nicole Singeorzan"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Carolina Gomez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anet Angelika Koskel"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Elizabeth Fauchet"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Danielle Young"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:29.296848+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3189,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 31,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.55172413793103,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.49,
          "opponent_name": "Adela Polakovicova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.28,
          "opponent_name": "Karolina Vlckova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vanda Vargova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Veronika Kulhava"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.62,
          "opponent_name": "Dominika Pirohova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.859076+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2276,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3189,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.3789465560172772,
    "utr_diff": 0.3362636459748565,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 8.16326530612245,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 8.16326530612245,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.952484009702848,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.301379253519853,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.869565217391305,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.122448979591837,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}