Sara Gvozdenovic vs Francesca Franchi
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sara Gvozdenovic
Sara …: 50,0% Francesca …: 50,0%
¿Por qué Sara Gvozdenovic?
UTR 9,00 vs 9,00 (-2,90) — Ventaja clara
Sara …
W50-L55
48% WR
vs UTR 9,3
W1
Francesca …
W17-L15
53% WR
vs UTR 8,9
W4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sara … Francesca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,67 1,91 59,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,00 2,00 50,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Sara …: +0,0% Francesca …: 0,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Gvozdenovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2946
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 22% (9p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Francesca Franchi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1309
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sara Gvozdenovic
Record 2025 50W - 55L (48%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,3
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Francesca Franchi
Record 2025 17W - 15L (53%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 8,9
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Francesca Franchi en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,0500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 8,1633
momentum_diff 31,8367
weighted_momentum_diff 23,8776
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 9,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9905
serve_consistency_p2 8,4907
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,8961
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,4584
utr_advantage -27,7187
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20224
API ID 15251595
Gamdom ID 541747
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20224,
    "api_id": 15251595,
    "gamdom_id": 541747,
    "player1": "Sara Gvozdenovic",
    "player2": "Francesca Franchi",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T13:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 1.91
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5004,
    "prob_p2": 0.4996,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5004,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2946,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 55,
      "utr_v4_wr": 47.61904761904761,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lucie Brun"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandra Iankovskaia"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Olga Molchanova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Judith Hernandez Miranda"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emma Bousquet"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:29.508667+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 22.22222222222222,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1309,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 17,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.125,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.92,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gwendolyn Fedel"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.91,
          "opponent_name": "Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.83,
          "opponent_name": "Alexandra Irina Anghel"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Madison Frahn"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.75,
          "opponent_name": "Mara Gae"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:24.568755+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2946,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 1309,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.4583591743325537,
    "utr_diff": -2.8960529818267062,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.16326530612245,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.04999999999999999,
    "match_load_p1": 9,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 31.836734693877553,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -27.718660402951723,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.990475756352854,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.490707573876492,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 23.877551020408163,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}