Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Next Gen Finals | Hard | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 22:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 80,3% Nishesh …: 19,7%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 15,04 (+0,77) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Nishesh … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,2%
Gamdom 1,24 4,10 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,07 80,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: +9,3% Nishesh …: -9,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking #242
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 139,0000
rank_ratio 5,9643
log_rank_ratio 1,7858
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1201,0000
best_rank_diff 71,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,0214
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,9713
surface_matches_ratio 1,0659
surface_tournaments_won_diff 6,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,0486
surface_wr_p2 62,0272
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,2871
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,3158
p1_surface_matches 97,0000
p2_surface_matches 91,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4433
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,3158
first_serve_won_diff -1,1390
second_serve_won_diff 2,2069
bp_saved_diff 3,7247
bp_converted_diff 2,6848
aces_per_match_diff -0,2042
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,1800
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6092
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6471
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 5,3725
serve_consistency_p2 8,5134
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,1104
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0715
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2593
elite_surface_amplifier 18,0429
UTR
utr_diff 0,7700
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,8376
utr_advantage 4,9661
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20229
API ID 15251809
Gamdom ID 541893
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20229,
    "api_id": 15251809,
    "gamdom_id": 541893,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8026,
    "prob_p2": 0.1974,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8026,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 242,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_p2": 0.8376470588235293,
    "utr_diff": 0.7700000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 5.964285714285714,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 1201,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.724669723961547,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.02716823406479,
    "utr_advantage": 4.966139954853282,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 71,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7857893022415512,
    "rank_advantage": 139,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.021425116318838,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.6847707028838457,
    "p1_surface_matches": 97,
    "p2_surface_matches": 91,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.3157664349643312,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.2041873448302587,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.1389505247376093,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.372523614457266,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.513396961819534,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.110364463695422,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.3157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.2069450568833133,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.065934065934066,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.180000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 18.042850232637676,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07148593350383625,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2592716823406479,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.971339239187074,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 6,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}