Mark Krupkin vs Lukas Steffen
UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10 | Hard | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 22:00
20 Dic 2025, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mark Krupkin
Mark …: 54,4%
Lukas …: 45,6%
¿Por qué Mark Krupkin?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00
— Niveles similares
Mark …
Sin datos
Lukas …
W27-L12
69% WR
vs UTR 11,9
W4
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mark … | Lukas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,30 | 1,44 | 43,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,84 | 2,19 | 54,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mark …: +15,2%
Lukas …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mark Krupkin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3378
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Lukas Steffen
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2102
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mark Krupkin
Sin datos UTR v4
Lukas Steffen
Record 2025
27W - 12L (69%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
11,9
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0833 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 77,7778 | |
| momentum_p2 | 69,3878 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,3900 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,2925 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4294 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1967 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4119 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4119 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20231
API ID
15251640
Gamdom ID
541789
Torneo
UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20231,
"api_id": 15251640,
"gamdom_id": 541789,
"player1": "Mark Krupkin",
"player2": "Lukas Steffen",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Boca Raton Men 10",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-20T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.4,
"p2": 1.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.544,
"prob_p2": 0.456,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.544,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3378,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2102,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 12,
"utr_v4_wr": 69.23076923076923,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.87,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Gabriele Datei"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Enzo Bordini Garutti"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Naresh Bharathy"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Cole Henceroth"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "chris xu"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:28.458893+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3378,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2102,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.41192262472077557,
"utr_p2": 0.41192262472077557,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.77777777777777,
"momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.08333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 8.390022675736944,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.429417465151294,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.196738799537682,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.292517006802726,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}