Tiago Cacao vs Miguel Avendano Cadena
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard | Semifinals
20 Dic 2025, 17:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tiago Cacao
Tiago …: 53,2% Miguel …: 46,8%
¿Por qué Tiago Cacao?
Tiago …
W29-L13
69% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Miguel …
W0-L0
0% WR
vs UTR 0,0
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tiago … Miguel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,20 3,48 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,88 2,13 53,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Tiago …: -19,2% Miguel …: +19,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tiago Cacao
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #662
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Miguel Avendano Cadena
Ranking #-
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tiago Cacao
Record 2025 29W - 13L (69%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Miguel Avendano Cadena
Record 2025 0W - 0L (0%)
Racha -
UTR Oponentes 0,0
Análisis Momentum
Tiago Cacao ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,9 vs 0,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,5000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 25,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0500
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 91,8367
momentum_diff -31,8367
weighted_momentum_diff -23,8776
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 10,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,1226
serve_consistency_p2 7,7832
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6471
utr_p2 0,6471
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20233
API ID 15251510
Gamdom ID 541694
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20233,
    "api_id": 15251510,
    "gamdom_id": 541694,
    "player1": "Tiago Cacao",
    "player2": "Miguel Avendano Cadena",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-20T13:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 3.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5316,
    "prob_p2": 0.4684,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5316,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.54,
      "utr_ranking": 662,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 69.04761904761905,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.11,
          "opponent_name": "Cezar (2001) Cretu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.99,
          "opponent_name": "Diego Dedura-Palomero"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.92,
          "opponent_name": "Salvador Monteiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.46,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Curras Abasolo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.17,
          "opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:48.316323+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 0,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:49.356406+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.54,
      "ranking": 662,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 91.83673469387755,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.050000000000000044,
    "match_load_p1": 10,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -31.836734693877546,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.122560917021977,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.78315555462702,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.877551020408163,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.5,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}