Alina Shcherbinina vs Anastasia Grechkina
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 18 | Hard | Semifinals
21 Dic 2025, 02:00
21 Dic 2025, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Shcherbinina
Alina …: 53,8%
Anastasia …: 46,2%
¿Por qué Alina Shcherbinina?
Alina …
W83-L24
78% WR
vs UTR 9,6
L1
Anastasia …
W0-L0
0% WR
vs UTR 0,0
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alina … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,40 | 1,39 | 41,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,86 | 2,16 | 53,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alina …: +11,5%
Anastasia …: -11,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alina Shcherbinina
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#892
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Anastasia Grechkina
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alina Shcherbinina
Record 2025
83W - 24L (78%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,6
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Anastasia Grechkina
Record 2025
0W - 0L (0%)
Racha
-
UTR Oponentes
0,0
Análisis Momentum
Alina Shcherbinina ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,6 vs 0,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,4082 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,8061 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,6820 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,5880 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4621 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4621 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20246
API ID
15253284
Gamdom ID
542050
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 18
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20246,
"api_id": 15253284,
"gamdom_id": 542050,
"player1": "Alina Shcherbinina",
"player2": "Anastasia Grechkina",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 18",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-20T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.4,
"p2": 1.39
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 6.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5379,
"prob_p2": 0.4621,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5379,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 892,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 83,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.57009345794393,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Emily Welker"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.83,
"opponent_name": "Alice Soulie"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ichino Horikawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Cl\u00e9mence Thouard"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ariana Gilbert"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:15.688843+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 0,
"utr_v4_losses": 0,
"utr_v4_wr": 0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 0,
"utr_v4_recent": [],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:19.562572+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 892,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4621082635678336,
"utr_p2": 0.4621082635678336,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 79.59183673469387,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.050000000000000044,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 18.408163265306115,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.682033468283466,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.588001618914732,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.806122448979593,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}