Avery Tallakson vs Matthis Ross
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18 | Hard | Semifinals
21 Dic 2025, 04:05
21 Dic 2025, 04:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Avery Tallakson
Avery …: 54,8%
Matthis …: 45,2%
¿Por qué Avery Tallakson?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00
(+0,04)
— Niveles similares
Avery …
W48-L28
63% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L4
Matthis …
W29-L14
67% WR
vs UTR 11,6
W2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Avery … | Matthis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,01 | 1,62 | 49,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,83 | 2,21 | 54,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Avery …: +10,5%
Matthis …: -10,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Avery Tallakson
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2011
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Matthis Ross
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1898
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Avery Tallakson
Record 2025
48W - 28L (63%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Matthis Ross
Record 2025
29W - 14L (67%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Avery Tallakson ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,0 vs 11,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,7755 | |
| momentum_diff | 11,2245 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,4184 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9172 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8319 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0380 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4241 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4197 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3277 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20250
API ID
15253340
Gamdom ID
542069
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20250,
"api_id": 15253340,
"gamdom_id": 542069,
"player1": "Avery Tallakson",
"player2": "Matthis Ross",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-21T00:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.01,
"p2": 1.62
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5476,
"prob_p2": 0.4524,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5476,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2011,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 48,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.1578947368421,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.01,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Rishvanth Krishna"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Ford McCollum"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jp Day"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "David Martirosian"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Tom Bittner"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:33.753406+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1898,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 14,
"utr_v4_wr": 67.44186046511628,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.57,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Prateek Singla"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Adriano De Oliveira Andrade"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.25,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Pinho"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.21,
"opponent_name": "Rohan Belday"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Joaquin BENOIT"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.444220+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2011,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1898,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.42414780030078536,
"utr_p2": 0.4196812704823914,
"utr_diff": 0.037965503456348415,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.775510204081634,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 11.224489795918366,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.327676567360466,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.917155010865612,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.831906418084078,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.41836734693878,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}