Ryota Tanuma vs Koki Matsuda
UTR PTT Saitama Men 04 | Hard | Final
21 Dic 2025, 07:05
21 Dic 2025, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Koki Matsuda
Ryota …: 30,2%
Koki …: 69,8%
¿Por qué Koki Matsuda?
UTR 13,38 vs 13,37
(+0,01)
— Niveles similares
Ryota …
W59-L17
78% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Koki …
W66-L24
73% WR
vs UTR 12,5
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ryota … | Koki … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,54 | 2,11 | 64,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,31 | 1,43 | 30,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ryota …: -25,5%
Koki …: +25,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryota Tanuma
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#786
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Koki Matsuda
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#795
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryota Tanuma
Record 2025
59W - 17L (78%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Koki Matsuda
Record 2025
66W - 24L (73%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,4462 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,0171 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -67,8367 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -71,1222 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -55,7333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -53,1111 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -36,2889 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,7778 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2335 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5258 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0556 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6341 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0747 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20255
API ID
15253380
Gamdom ID
542114
Torneo
UTR PTT Saitama Men 04
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20255,
"api_id": 15253380,
"gamdom_id": 542114,
"player1": "Ryota Tanuma",
"player2": "Koki Matsuda",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 04",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-21T03:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.11
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3021,
"prob_p2": 0.6979,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6979,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.38,
"utr_ranking": 786,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 59,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.63157894736842,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.12,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Koyu Yanagi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ryuki Oda"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Yuta MITSUI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Hayato Takamura"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.673494+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.37,
"utr_ranking": 795,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 66,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 73.33333333333333,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.51,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.51,
"opponent_name": "Yusuke Kusuhara"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.08,
"opponent_name": "Ren Nakamura"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.64,
"opponent_name": "Yusuke Takahashi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.02,
"opponent_name": "Duje AJDUKOVIC"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.26,
"opponent_name": "Abdullah Shelbayh"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.468225+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.38,
"ranking": 786,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.37,
"ranking": 795,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6352941176470589,
"utr_p2": 0.6341176470588236,
"utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -53.111111111111114,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": 0.0746547219111593,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
"bp_converted_diff": -36.28888888888889,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -67.83666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.777777777777778,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -71.12222222222222,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.23354417067078,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.525841472976873,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.01709401709402,
"second_serve_won_diff": -55.733333333333334,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05555555555555558,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4461538461538461,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}