David Knesl vs Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08 | Carpet | Final
21 Dic 2025, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
David Knesl
David …: 53,2% Rasmus …: 46,8%
¿Por qué David Knesl?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 (-1,43) — Ligera ventaja
David …
W40-L24
62% WR
vs UTR 11,2
L3
Rasmus …
W55-L18
75% WR
vs UTR 10,9
W2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente David … Rasmus … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,76 1,81 56,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,88 2,14 53,2%
Edge vs Mercado: David …: +3,2% Rasmus …: -3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
David Knesl
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3059
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3410
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
David Knesl
Record 2025 40W - 24L (63%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 11,2
Últimos 5:
L L L W L
Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
Record 2025 55W - 18L (75%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 10,9
Últimos 5:
W W L W W
Análisis Momentum
David Knesl ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 11,2 vs 10,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,6841
serve_consistency_p2 6,3948
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,4284
utr_p1 0,3794
utr_p2 0,5474
utr_advantage -11,9643
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20276
API ID 15254815
Gamdom ID 543093
Torneo UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08
Superficie Carpet
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20276,
    "api_id": 15254815,
    "gamdom_id": 543093,
    "player1": "David Knesl",
    "player2": "Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-21T07:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.76,
      "p2": 1.81
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.84,
      "p2": 1.85
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5322,
    "prob_p2": 0.4678,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5322,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3059,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 40,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.5,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.24,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Heorhii Shylov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ond\u0159ej Hujo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:58.944480+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3410,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 55,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 75.34246575342466,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.89,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andr\u00e9 Biciusca Meinertz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christian Samuelsson"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.05,
          "opponent_name": "Saba George Nanobashvili"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Henrik Aamann"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eivind Roeed Rise"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:17.675941+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3059,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3410,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3793649749056447,
    "utr_p2": 0.5474118710143372,
    "utr_diff": -1.4283986169238858,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -11.964338342828054,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.684121256468324,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.394844976909541,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}