Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockx
Next Gen Finals | Hard | Final
21 Dic 2025, 21:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 73,0% Alexander …: 27,0%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 15,08 (+1,11) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
Gamdom 1,50 2,60 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,37 3,70 73,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: +10,9% Alexander …: -10,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Alexander Blockx
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 37/53 = 69,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 88,0000
rank_ratio 4,1429
log_rank_ratio 1,4214
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1008,0000
best_rank_diff 73,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,5421
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,4624
surface_matches_ratio 1,0430
surface_tournaments_won_diff 5,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,0486
surface_wr_p2 63,5065
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,2871
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,8247
p1_surface_matches 97,0000
p2_surface_matches 93,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4433
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,5853
first_serve_won_diff -1,7537
second_serve_won_diff 3,0332
bp_saved_diff 0,9243
bp_converted_diff 3,8440
aces_per_match_diff -1,3092
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,8800
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6092
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4483
serve_consistency_p1 6,3807
serve_consistency_p2 6,8849
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,7202
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1225
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2231
elite_surface_amplifier 15,0842
UTR
utr_diff 1,1100
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,7976
utr_advantage 7,2383
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20292
API ID 15255681
Gamdom ID 543890
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20292,
    "api_id": 15255681,
    "gamdom_id": 543890,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Alexander Blockx",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-21T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7296,
    "prob_p2": 0.2704,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7296,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 15.08,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.81132075471697,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 53,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.08,
      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_p2": 0.7976470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 1.1100000000000012,
    "rank_ratio": 4.142857142857143,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1008,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.9242510047497206,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.50649350649349,
    "utr_advantage": 7.238343658298019,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 73,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.421385680931161,
    "rank_advantage": 88,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4482758620689655,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.542099843890135,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.8439668515627545,
    "p1_surface_matches": 97,
    "p2_surface_matches": 93,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.585306888763405,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3092104826120172,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.7537154150197551,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.38071531953582,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.884906139111176,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.720232722258581,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.824742268041234,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.0332392799016716,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.043010752688172,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.8799999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 15.08419968778027,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12248593350383619,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22306493506493497,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.462386444830045,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}