Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockx
Next Gen Finals | Hard | Final
21 Dic 2025, 21:00
21 Dic 2025, 21:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 73,0%
Alexander …: 27,0%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 15,08
(+1,11)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Learner … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,50 | 65,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,50 | 2,60 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,70 | 73,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Learner …: +10,9%
Alexander …: -10,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Alexander Blockx
Ranking
#96
UTR Rating
15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
37/53 = 69,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 88,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,1429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4214 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1008,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 73,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,5421 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,4624 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0430 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,0486 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,5065 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,2871 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,8247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 97,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 93,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4433 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,5853 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,7537 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0332 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,9243 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,8440 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3092 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6092 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4483 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3807 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8849 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,7202 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1225 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2231 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,0842 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7976 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,2383 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20292
API ID
15255681
Gamdom ID
543890
Torneo
Next Gen Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20292,
"api_id": 15255681,
"gamdom_id": 543890,
"player1": "Learner Tien",
"player2": "Alexander Blockx",
"tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-21T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7296,
"prob_p2": 0.2704,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7296,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 96,
"utr_singles": 15.08,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.81132075471697,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 53,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.57,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.08,
"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_p2": 0.7976470588235294,
"utr_diff": 1.1100000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 4.142857142857143,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1008,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.9242510047497206,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.50649350649349,
"utr_advantage": 7.238343658298019,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 73,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.421385680931161,
"rank_advantage": 88,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4482758620689655,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.542099843890135,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.8439668515627545,
"p1_surface_matches": 97,
"p2_surface_matches": 93,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.585306888763405,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3092104826120172,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.7537154150197551,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.38071531953582,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.884906139111176,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.720232722258581,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.824742268041234,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.0332392799016716,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.043010752688172,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.8799999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.08419968778027,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12248593350383619,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22306493506493497,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.462386444830045,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
},
"feature_importance": {}
}