Ryota Tanuma vs Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05 | Hard |
23 Dic 2025, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryota Tanuma
Ryota …: 68,1% Kotaro …: 31,9%
¿Por qué Ryota Tanuma?
UTR 13,38 vs 12,00 (+1,40) — Ligera ventaja
Ryota …
W59-L17
78% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Kotaro …
W51-L29
64% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ryota … Kotaro … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,47 3,14 68,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryota Tanuma
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #786
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Kotaro Mochizuki
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #1867
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 83% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryota Tanuma
Record 2025 59W - 17L (78%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Kotaro Mochizuki
Record 2025 51W - 29L (64%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Ryota Tanuma ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 30,0000
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,2335
serve_consistency_p2 7,3407
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,4000
utr_p1 0,6353
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 11,0236
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20303
API ID 15250844
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20303,
    "api_id": 15250844,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ryota Tanuma",
    "player2": "Kotaro Mochizuki",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-23T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6812,
    "prob_p2": 0.3188,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6812,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.38,
      "utr_ranking": 786,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 59,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.63157894736842,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.12,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Koyu Yanagi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ryuki Oda"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yuta MITSUI"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hayato Takamura"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.673494+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1867,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 51,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.74999999999999,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.69,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Taiyo Hirano"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yamato Nishiyama"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shotaro Kashiwagi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Taki Adachi"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.399437+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.38,
      "ranking": 786,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1867,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6352941176470589,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 1.4000000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 39.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.023622047244098,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.23354417067078,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.340747656634072,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}