Ryota Tanuma vs Daiki Yoshimura
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05 | Hard |
22 Dic 2025, 05:00
22 Dic 2025, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryota Tanuma
Ryota …: 57,8%
Daiki …: 42,2%
¿Por qué Ryota Tanuma?
UTR 13,38 vs 12,39
(+1,05)
— Ligera ventaja
Ryota …
W59-L17
78% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Daiki …
W36-L27
57% WR
vs UTR 11,9
W2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ryota … | Daiki … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 5,50 | 88,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,02 | 6,86 | 98,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,73 | 2,37 | 57,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ryota …: -25,2%
Daiki …: +25,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryota Tanuma
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#786
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Daiki Yoshimura
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1647
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryota Tanuma
Record 2025
59W - 17L (78%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Daiki Yoshimura
Record 2025
36W - 27L (57%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
11,9
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Ryota Tanuma ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 92,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 69,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2335 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,6310 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5118 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,1553 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20304
API ID
15250849
Gamdom ID
541134
Torneo
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20304,
"api_id": 15250849,
"gamdom_id": 541134,
"player1": "Ryota Tanuma",
"player2": "Daiki Yoshimura",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 05",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-22T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.125,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 6.86
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 8.55
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5779,
"prob_p2": 0.4221,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5779,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.38,
"utr_ranking": 786,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 59,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.63157894736842,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.12,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Koyu Yanagi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ryuki Oda"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Yuta MITSUI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Hayato Takamura"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.673494+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.39,
"utr_ranking": 1647,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 36,
"utr_v4_losses": 27,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.09,
"opponent_name": "Kamonpanyakorn Thadpong"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.42,
"opponent_name": "Fanming Meng"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.1,
"opponent_name": "Markus Malaszszak"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Mao Takada"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Zachary Adam-Gedge"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:52.641135+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.38,
"ranking": 786,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.39,
"ranking": 1647,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6352941176470589,
"utr_p2": 0.5117647058823529,
"utr_diff": 1.0500000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 91.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 8.155339805825248,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 8,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.23354417067078,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.63104267282187,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 69.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}