Ryota Tanuma vs Daiki Yoshimura
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05 | Hard |
22 Dic 2025, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryota Tanuma
Ryota …: 57,8% Daiki …: 42,2%
¿Por qué Ryota Tanuma?
UTR 13,38 vs 12,39 (+1,05) — Ligera ventaja
Ryota …
W59-L17
78% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Daiki …
W36-L27
57% WR
vs UTR 11,9
W2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ryota … Daiki … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 5,50 88,9%
Gamdom 1,02 6,86 98,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,73 2,37 57,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Ryota …: -25,2% Daiki …: +25,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryota Tanuma
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #786
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Daiki Yoshimura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1647
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryota Tanuma
Record 2025 59W - 17L (78%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Daiki Yoshimura
Record 2025 36W - 27L (57%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
W W L W W
Análisis Momentum
Ryota Tanuma ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 92,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 69,0000
current_streak_diff 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,2335
serve_consistency_p2 11,6310
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0500
utr_p1 0,6353
utr_p2 0,5118
utr_advantage 8,1553
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20304
API ID 15250849
Gamdom ID 541134
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20304,
    "api_id": 15250849,
    "gamdom_id": 541134,
    "player1": "Ryota Tanuma",
    "player2": "Daiki Yoshimura",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-22T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.125,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 6.86
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.55
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5779,
    "prob_p2": 0.4221,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5779,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.38,
      "utr_ranking": 786,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 59,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.63157894736842,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.12,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Koyu Yanagi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ryuki Oda"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yuta MITSUI"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hayato Takamura"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.673494+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1647,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.09,
          "opponent_name": "Kamonpanyakorn Thadpong"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.42,
          "opponent_name": "Fanming Meng"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.1,
          "opponent_name": "Markus Malaszszak"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mao Takada"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zachary Adam-Gedge"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:52.641135+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.38,
      "ranking": 786,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.39,
      "ranking": 1647,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6352941176470589,
    "utr_p2": 0.5117647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 1.0500000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 91.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.155339805825248,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 8,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.23354417067078,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.63104267282187,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 69.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}