Ryuichiro Nakano vs Dorian Kos
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05 | Hard |
25 Dic 2025, 10:35
25 Dic 2025, 10:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dorian Kos
Ryuichiro …: 47,8%
Dorian …: 52,2%
¿Por qué Dorian Kos?
UTR 11,00 vs 11,00
— Niveles similares
Ryuichiro …
W17-L17
50% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L1
Dorian …
W8-L22
27% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ryuichiro … | Dorian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,67 | 1,91 | 59,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,09 | 1,92 | 47,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ryuichiro …: -5,8%
Dorian …: +5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryuichiro Nakano
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2066
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Dorian Kos
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#6177
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
0% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryuichiro Nakano
Record 2025
17W - 17L (50%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
L
Dorian Kos
Record 2025
8W - 22L (27%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,4651 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20331
API ID
15250821
Gamdom ID
541141
Torneo
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20331,
"api_id": 15250821,
"gamdom_id": 541141,
"player1": "Ryuichiro Nakano",
"player2": "Dorian Kos",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 05",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-25T06:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 1.91
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.66,
"p2": 2.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4782,
"prob_p2": 0.5218,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5218,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 2066,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 17,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.43,
"opponent_name": "Sora Fukuda"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Yangho Park"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.39,
"opponent_name": "Yong Joon Park"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Homin Kwag"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.63,
"opponent_name": "Suk Ann"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.963783+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 6177,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 8,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 26.666666666666668,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.69,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Tim Malmqvist"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.82,
"opponent_name": "Gabriel Matuszewski"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Thomas Edwards"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Orion Blackmore"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.37,
"opponent_name": "Benjamin Pietri"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:04.468503+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 2066,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 6177,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.4651135604838257,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}