Michiru Furuya vs Sae Noguchi
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03 | Hard |
25 Dic 2025, 10:15
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sae Noguchi
Michiru …: 28,0% Sae …: 72,0%
¿Por qué Sae Noguchi?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,65 (-0,61) — Niveles similares
Michiru …
W57-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L1
Sae …
W50-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michiru … Sae … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,00 1,11 16,7%
Gamdom 3,97 1,13 25,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,58 1,39 28,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Michiru …: +12,3% Sae …: -12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michiru Furuya
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1806
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Sae Noguchi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #708
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Michiru Furuya
Record 2025 57W - 22L (72%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Sae Noguchi
Record 2025 50W - 20L (71%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,8
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 6,6667
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -33,3040
first_serve_won_diff -39,5900
second_serve_won_diff -45,0300
bp_saved_diff -37,9900
bp_converted_diff -29,3100
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,7500
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 79,5918
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 79,5918
weighted_momentum_diff 54,7439
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 65,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,6754
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6100
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,3071
utr_advantage -5,9195
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20347
API ID 15250719
Gamdom ID 541034
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Women 03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20347,
    "api_id": 15250719,
    "gamdom_id": 541034,
    "player1": "Michiru Furuya",
    "player2": "Sae Noguchi",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Women 03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-25T06:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.0,
      "p2": 1.1111111111111112
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.97,
      "p2": 1.13
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.18,
      "p2": 1.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2797,
    "prob_p2": 0.7203,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7203,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1806,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 57,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 72.15189873417721,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.18,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kanami Nishimura"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "YUI OHWAKI"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.89,
          "opponent_name": "Junri Namigata"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Misaki Yamagishi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rito Arima"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:49.536056+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.65,
      "utr_ranking": 708,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.8,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.73,
          "opponent_name": "Mayuka Aikawa"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.57,
          "opponent_name": "Ayumi Miyamoto"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.93,
          "opponent_name": "Natsumi Kawaguchi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Konoha Kawasaki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.1,
          "opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:26.667487+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1806,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.65,
      "ranking": 708,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.3070588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -0.6099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -37.989999999999995,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.75,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 79.59183673469387,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_advantage": -5.919456574478403,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -29.309999999999995,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -33.304,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -39.589999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.6754250874964516,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -45.03,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 54.743877551020404,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 65,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}