Michiru Furuya vs Sae Noguchi
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03 | Hard |
25 Dic 2025, 10:15
25 Dic 2025, 10:15
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sae Noguchi
Michiru …: 28,0%
Sae …: 72,0%
¿Por qué Sae Noguchi?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,65
(-0,61)
— Niveles similares
Michiru …
W57-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L1
Sae …
W50-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Michiru … | Sae … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,00 | 1,11 | 16,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,97 | 1,13 | 25,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,58 | 1,39 | 28,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Michiru …: +12,3%
Sae …: -12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michiru Furuya
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1806
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
75% (8p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Sae Noguchi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#708
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Michiru Furuya
Record 2025
57W - 22L (72%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Sae Noguchi
Record 2025
50W - 20L (71%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,5778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 6,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -33,3040 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -39,5900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -45,0300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -37,9900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -29,3100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,7500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 79,5918 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 54,7439 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 65,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,6754 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3071 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,9195 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20347
API ID
15250719
Gamdom ID
541034
Torneo
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20347,
"api_id": 15250719,
"gamdom_id": 541034,
"player1": "Michiru Furuya",
"player2": "Sae Noguchi",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Women 03",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-25T06:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.0,
"p2": 1.1111111111111112
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.97,
"p2": 1.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.18,
"p2": 1.21
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2797,
"prob_p2": 0.7203,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7203,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 1806,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 57,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 72.15189873417721,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.18,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Kanami Nishimura"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.68,
"opponent_name": "YUI OHWAKI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.89,
"opponent_name": "Junri Namigata"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Misaki Yamagishi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Rito Arima"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:49.536056+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.65,
"utr_ranking": 708,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 50,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.8,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.73,
"opponent_name": "Mayuka Aikawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.57,
"opponent_name": "Ayumi Miyamoto"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.93,
"opponent_name": "Natsumi Kawaguchi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Konoha Kawasaki"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.1,
"opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:26.667487+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 1806,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.65,
"ranking": 708,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.3070588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.6099999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -37.989999999999995,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.75,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 79.59183673469387,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_advantage": -5.919456574478403,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -29.309999999999995,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": -33.304,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -39.589999999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.6754250874964516,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": -45.03,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 54.743877551020404,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 65,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.57777777777778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}