Michiru Furuya vs Sayuri Hata
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03 | Hard |
26 Dic 2025, 06:25
26 Dic 2025, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Michiru Furuya
Michiru …: 66,8%
Sayuri …: 33,2%
¿Por qué Michiru Furuya?
UTR 10,00 vs 8,00
(+2,00)
— Ventaja clara
Michiru …
W57-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L1
Sayuri …
W7-L30
19% WR
vs UTR 9,1
L2
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Michiru … | Sayuri … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,10 | 6,50 | 90,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 4,70 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,50 | 3,01 | 66,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Michiru …: -18,7%
Sayuri …: +18,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michiru Furuya
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1806
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (9p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Sayuri Hata
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5791
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Michiru Furuya
Record 2025
57W - 22L (72%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Sayuri Hata
Record 2025
7W - 30L (19%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
9,1
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 29,5918 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34,6939 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,6754 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 2,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_advantage | 22,2222 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20348
API ID
15250720
Gamdom ID
541020
Torneo
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20348,
"api_id": 15250720,
"gamdom_id": 541020,
"player1": "Michiru Furuya",
"player2": "Sayuri Hata",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Women 03",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-26T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 6.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 4.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 6.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6683,
"prob_p2": 0.3317,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6683,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 1806,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 57,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 72.15189873417721,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.18,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Kanami Nishimura"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.68,
"opponent_name": "YUI OHWAKI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.89,
"opponent_name": "Junri Namigata"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Misaki Yamagishi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Rito Arima"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:49.536056+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.0,
"utr_ranking": 5791,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 7,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 18.91891891891892,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.05,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.48,
"opponent_name": "Yuzuha Negishi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Sara Yoshida"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Rio Wakayama"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Moka Ito"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.06,
"opponent_name": "Kanna Soeda"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.101630+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 1806,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 8.0,
"ranking": 5791,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 2.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 29.59183673469387,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 22.22222222222222,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.6754250874964516,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.69387755102041,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}