Yui Shinohara vs Rina Komatsu
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03 | Hard |
26 Dic 2025, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yui Shinohara
Yui …: 53,9% Rina …: 46,1%
¿Por qué Yui Shinohara?
UTR 8,00 vs 9,00 (+2,71) — Ventaja clara
Yui …
W2-L5
29% WR
vs UTR 8,8
L2
Rina …
W31-L26
54% WR
vs UTR 9,1
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yui … Rina … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,85 2,17 53,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yui Shinohara
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #1434
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Rina Komatsu
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3392
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 22% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Yui Shinohara
Record 2025 2W - 5L (29%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 8,8
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Rina Komatsu
Record 2025 31W - 26L (54%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,1
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Rina Komatsu ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,1 vs 8,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,5000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 25,0000
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 8,6044
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,7116
utr_p1 0,4367
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 26,1841
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20365
API ID 15250709
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Women 03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20365,
    "api_id": 15250709,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Yui Shinohara",
    "player2": "Rina Komatsu",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Women 03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-26T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5391,
    "prob_p2": 0.4609,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5391,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1434,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 2,
      "utr_v4_losses": 5,
      "utr_v4_wr": 28.57142857142857,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.75,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Haruka Nishimura"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mua Shigeta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ksenia Meshcheryakova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.23,
          "opponent_name": "Kaylah Mcphee"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Minori Natsuka"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:06.496021+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3392,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 31,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.385964912280706,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.08,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mua Shigeta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.54,
          "opponent_name": "suzuna oigawa"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Natsuki Yamagami"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yuka Matsumoto"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.89,
          "opponent_name": "Junri Namigata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:20.832855+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 22.22222222222222,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 1434,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3392,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.43665495072327287,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 2.7115670811478196,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 26.18408419337767,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.604379629122803,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}