Ilya Snitari vs Maciej Rajski
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18 | Hard | Final
21 Dic 2025, 21:30
21 Dic 2025, 21:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ilya Snitari
Ilya …: 52,2%
Maciej …: 47,8%
¿Por qué Ilya Snitari?
Ilya …
Sin datos
Maciej …
W81-L17
83% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ilya … | Maciej … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,40 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,91 | 2,09 | 52,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ilya …: -8,5%
Maciej …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ilya Snitari
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Maciej Rajski
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#797
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ilya Snitari
Sin datos UTR v4
Maciej Rajski
Record 2025
81W - 17L (83%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12,2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7129 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,5839 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6235 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20377
API ID
15256295
Gamdom ID
544118
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20377,
"api_id": 15256295,
"gamdom_id": 544118,
"player1": "Ilya Snitari",
"player2": "Maciej Rajski",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-21T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5222,
"prob_p2": 0.4778,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5222,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.36,
"utr_ranking": 797,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 81,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 82.6530612244898,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.19,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Kosuke Nakanishi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Matteo Huarte"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Carson Baker"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luca Ostovany"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Iiro Vasa"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:29.466451+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.36,
"ranking": 797,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.623529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.623529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 10,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.71293958712864,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.58389766156536,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}