Eryn Cayetano vs Alina Shcherbinina
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 18 | Hard | Final
21 Dic 2025, 21:30
21 Dic 2025, 21:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eryn Cayetano
Eryn …: 75,2%
Alina …: 24,8%
¿Por qué Eryn Cayetano?
UTR 11,28 vs 10,00
(+1,34)
— Ligera ventaja
Eryn …
Sin datos
Alina …
W83-L24
78% WR
vs UTR 9,6
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Eryn … | Alina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,39 | 2,40 | 71,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,33 | 4,04 | 75,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Eryn …: +2,9%
Alina …: -2,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eryn Cayetano
Ranking
#399
UTR Rating
11,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#355
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Alina Shcherbinina
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#892
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
86% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Eryn Cayetano
Sin datos UTR v4
Alina Shcherbinina
Record 2025
83W - 24L (78%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,6
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 107,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2723 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2408 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 155,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 117,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,3101 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8626 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,6070 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3930 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_advantage | 12,5586 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20379
API ID
15256308
Gamdom ID
544136
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 18
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20379,
"api_id": 15256308,
"gamdom_id": 544136,
"player1": "Eryn Cayetano",
"player2": "Alina Shcherbinina",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 18",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-21T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 2.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7522,
"prob_p2": 0.2478,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7522,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 399,
"utr_singles": 11.28,
"utr_ranking": 355,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 892,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 83,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.57009345794393,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Emily Welker"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.83,
"opponent_name": "Alice Soulie"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ichino Horikawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Cl\u00e9mence Thouard"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ariana Gilbert"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:15.688843+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.28,
"ranking": 355,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 892,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.39294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 1.3399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.272264631043257,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 155,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 12.558575445173382,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 117,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.24079848655293054,
"rank_advantage": 107,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.310126431231762,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.862586619959199,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.607,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.393,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}