Alexander Simone vs John Cross
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18 | Hard | Final
21 Dic 2025, 21:30
21 Dic 2025, 21:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
John Cross
Alexander …: 46,2%
John …: 53,8%
¿Por qué John Cross?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,00
(-1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Alexander …
W23-L15
61% WR
vs UTR 10,2
L1
John …
W32-L25
56% WR
vs UTR 11,6
W2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | John … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,25 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,68 | 1,18 | 27,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,16 | 1,86 | 46,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: +21,2%
John …: -21,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Simone
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5931
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
John Cross
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2709
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexander Simone
Record 2025
23W - 15L (61%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
John Cross
Record 2025
32W - 25L (56%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
L
W
Análisis Momentum
John Cross ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 11,6 vs 10,2).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8065 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8066 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | -8,6957 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20385
API ID
15256824
Gamdom ID
544182
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20385,
"api_id": 15256824,
"gamdom_id": 544182,
"player1": "Alexander Simone",
"player2": "John Cross",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-21T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.68,
"p2": 1.18
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4621,
"prob_p2": 0.5379,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5379,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 5931,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.526315789473685,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.23,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.14,
"opponent_name": "Noble Renfrow"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Raffael Gasanov"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.72,
"opponent_name": "Ars\u00e8ne Pougault"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Jerry Roddick"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Eric Padgham"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:09.360817+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2709,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 32,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.14035087719298,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Rishvanth Krishna"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Naara Shin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.93,
"opponent_name": "Hiroki Sakagawa"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Antreas Djakouris"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "George Hakopian"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.551859+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 5931,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2709,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": -1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -8.695652173913043,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.806461004447003,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.806560470904216,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}