Seiya Nakanishi vs Kairi Inoue
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05 | Hard | Semifinals
27 Dic 2025, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Seiya Nakanishi
Seiya …: 64,9% Kairi …: 35,1%
¿Por qué Seiya Nakanishi?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,00 (+0,90) — Niveles similares
Seiya …
W24-L36
40% WR
vs UTR 11,8
W3
Kairi …
W6-L14
30% WR
vs UTR 11,9
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Seiya … Kairi … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,27 2,99 78,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,85 64,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Seiya …: -3,9% Kairi …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Seiya Nakanishi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #1926
Forma L5 0% (4p)
Forma L10 0% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Kairi Inoue
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6649
Forma L5 0% (4p)
Forma L10 0% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Seiya Nakanishi
Record 2025 24W - 36L (40%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Kairi Inoue
Record 2025 6W - 14L (30%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Análisis Momentum
Seiya Nakanishi en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,1347
serve_consistency_p2 5,9377
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,9000
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 7,8603
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20431
API ID 15275029
Gamdom ID 553646
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20431,
    "api_id": 15275029,
    "gamdom_id": 553646,
    "player1": "Seiya Nakanishi",
    "player2": "Kairi Inoue",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-27T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 2.99
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6487,
    "prob_p2": 0.3513,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6487,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 1926,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 36,
      "utr_v4_wr": 40.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chen-Yang Hsu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Taki Adachi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.95,
          "opponent_name": "Hong-Lin Fu"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Yuta Kawahashi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Seito Kurotsu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:32.857162+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6649,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 6,
      "utr_v4_losses": 14,
      "utr_v4_wr": 30.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.91,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.43,
          "opponent_name": "Sora Fukuda"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Taiyo Uenoyama"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kosuke Morita"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christopher Kosei Ono"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:03.790178+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 1926,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6649,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 0.9000000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.860262008733628,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.134670584583983,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.937669621089351,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}