Azuna Ichioka vs Sae Noguchi
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03 | Hard | Semifinals
27 Dic 2025, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sae Noguchi
Azuna …: 48,4% Sae …: 51,6%
¿Por qué Sae Noguchi?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,65 — Niveles similares
Azuna …
Sin datos
Sae …
W50-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Azuna … Sae … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,06 1,94 48,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Azuna Ichioka
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #165
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Sae Noguchi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #708
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Azuna Ichioka
Sin datos UTR v4
Sae Noguchi
Record 2025 50W - 20L (71%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,8
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 6,6667
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -33,3040
first_serve_won_diff -39,5900
second_serve_won_diff -45,0300
bp_saved_diff -37,9900
bp_converted_diff -29,3100
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,4010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9509
serve_consistency_p2 10,6543
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3071
utr_p2 0,3071
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20442
API ID 15274585
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Women 03
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20442,
    "api_id": 15274585,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Azuna Ichioka",
    "player2": "Sae Noguchi",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Women 03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-27T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4845,
    "prob_p2": 0.5155,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5155,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 165,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.65,
      "utr_ranking": 708,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.8,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.73,
          "opponent_name": "Mayuka Aikawa"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.57,
          "opponent_name": "Ayumi Miyamoto"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.93,
          "opponent_name": "Natsumi Kawaguchi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Konoha Kawasaki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.1,
          "opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:26.667487+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 165,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.65,
      "ranking": 708,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3070588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.3070588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -37.989999999999995,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -29.309999999999995,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -33.304,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -39.589999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.950884667459523,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.654260913459309,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -45.03,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4010000000000105,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}