Mua Shigeta vs Himari Sato
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03 | Hard | Semifinals
27 Dic 2025, 04:30
27 Dic 2025, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mua Shigeta
Mua …: 55,8%
Himari …: 44,2%
¿Por qué Mua Shigeta?
UTR 9,00 vs 9,68
— Niveles similares
Mua …
W42-L40
51% WR
vs UTR 9,1
W1
Himari …
Sin datos
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mua … | Himari … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,30 | 1,42 | 43,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,79 | 2,26 | 55,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mua …: +5,8%
Himari …: -5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mua Shigeta
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2949
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Himari Sato
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1199
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mua Shigeta
Record 2025
42W - 40L (51%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,1
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
L
L
Himari Sato
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,4444 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,3333 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 6,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,9939 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1974 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20444
API ID
15274587
Gamdom ID
553546
Torneo
UTR PTT Saitama Women 03
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20444,
"api_id": 15274587,
"gamdom_id": 553546,
"player1": "Mua Shigeta",
"player2": "Himari Sato",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Women 03",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-27T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.42
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.56
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5577,
"prob_p2": 0.4423,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5577,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2949,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 42,
"utr_v4_losses": 40,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.08,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Elizaveta Gurianova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.48,
"opponent_name": "Yuzuha Negishi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.75,
"opponent_name": "Minami Suzuki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Nagisa Suzuki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.1,
"opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.956589+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.68,
"utr_ranking": 1199,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2949,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.68,
"ranking": 1199,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666665,
"match_load_p1": 9,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 12.444444444444443,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 6,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.99390153534831,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.197353982996896,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.333333333333329,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}