Ryan Nijboer vs Sebastian Prechtel
UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01 | Hard |
29 Dic 2025, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryan Nijboer
Ryan …: 64,2% Sebastian …: 35,8%
¿Por qué Ryan Nijboer?
UTR 13,68 vs 12,60 (+1,21) — Ligera ventaja
Ryan …
W44-L37
54% WR
vs UTR 13,7
L1
Sebastian …
W51-L26
66% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ryan … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,79 64,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryan Nijboer
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #570
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 1/7 = 14,3%
Sebastian Prechtel
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #1469
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryan Nijboer
Record 2025 44W - 37L (54%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Sebastian Prechtel
Record 2025 51W - 26L (66%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Ryan Nijboer ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,7 vs 12,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,1957
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 39,7687
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 63,8200
first_serve_won_diff 71,2000
second_serve_won_diff 47,4000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 7,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,0000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 84,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,2023
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,2100
utr_p1 0,6788
utr_p2 0,5365
utr_advantage 9,1910
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20451
API ID 15278418
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20451,
    "api_id": 15278418,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ryan Nijboer",
    "player2": "Sebastian Prechtel",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-29T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6417,
    "prob_p2": 0.3583,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6417,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.68,
      "utr_ranking": 570,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 37,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.32098765432099,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.67,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.6,
          "opponent_name": "Benjamin Winter Lopez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.5,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Araujo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.58,
          "opponent_name": "Sean HODKIN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.78,
          "opponent_name": "Olle Wallin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.04,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandr Braynin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:24.941351+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.6,
      "utr_ranking": 1469,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 51,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 66.23376623376623,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.37,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.28,
          "opponent_name": "Botond Kisantal"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.74,
          "opponent_name": "Achilles Belkovics"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kristian Tumbas Kajgo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Adam Jurajda"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:32.237567+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.68,
      "ranking": 570,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.6,
      "ranking": 1469,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6788235294117646,
    "utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.209999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 9.191036840106335,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 63.82,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 71.2,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.2022830605757346,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.76866585067319,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 47.4,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 84,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.195724194206443,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}