Ryan Nijboer vs Tim Hammes
UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01 | Hard |
31 Dic 2025, 19:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryan Nijboer
Ryan …: 62,2% Tim …: 37,8%
¿Por qué Ryan Nijboer?
UTR 13,68 vs 12,00 (+2,01) — Ventaja clara
Ryan …
W44-L37
54% WR
vs UTR 13,7
L1
Tim …
W32-L15
68% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ryan … Tim … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,29 3,00 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,61 2,64 62,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryan Nijboer
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #570
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 1/7 = 14,3%
Tim Hammes
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1348
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryan Nijboer
Record 2025 44W - 37L (54%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Tim Hammes
Record 2025 32W - 15L (68%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Ryan Nijboer ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,7 vs 11,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,1376
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 39,7687
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 63,8200
first_serve_won_diff 71,2000
second_serve_won_diff 47,4000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 7,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,0000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 84,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,2023
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,0134
utr_p1 0,6788
utr_p2 0,4420
utr_advantage 15,7749
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20452
API ID 15278424
Gamdom ID 555703
Torneo UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20452,
    "api_id": 15278424,
    "gamdom_id": 555703,
    "player1": "Ryan Nijboer",
    "player2": "Tim Hammes",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-31T15:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6216,
    "prob_p2": 0.3784,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6216,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.68,
      "utr_ranking": 570,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 37,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.32098765432099,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.67,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.6,
          "opponent_name": "Benjamin Winter Lopez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.5,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Araujo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.58,
          "opponent_name": "Sean HODKIN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.78,
          "opponent_name": "Olle Wallin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.04,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandr Braynin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:24.941351+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1348,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.08510638297872,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.58,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Enzo Tafarelo Vargas"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christian Trevey"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mikhail Korkunov"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jose Murariu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Henry Bilicic"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:49.333621+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.68,
      "ranking": 570,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1348,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6788235294117646,
    "utr_p2": 0.44195312688858435,
    "utr_diff": 2.0133984214470324,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 15.77490380183359,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 63.82,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 71.2,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.2022830605757346,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.76866585067319,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 47.4,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 84,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.137609139126889,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}