Ryan Nijboer vs Julius Bult
UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01 | Hard |
30 Dic 2025, 18:00
30 Dic 2025, 18:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryan Nijboer
Ryan …: 71,5%
Julius …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Ryan Nijboer?
UTR 13,68 vs 11,00
(+2,77)
— Ventaja clara
Ryan …
W44-L37
54% WR
vs UTR 13,7
L1
Julius …
W38-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 11,2
W3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ryan … | Julius … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 5,10 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,51 | 71,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryan Nijboer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#570
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
1/7 = 14,3%
Julius Bult
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1955
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryan Nijboer
Record 2025
44W - 37L (54%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Julius Bult
Record 2025
38W - 21L (64%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
11,2
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Julius Bult en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,1376 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 39,7687 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 63,8200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 71,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 47,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 33,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 84,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,2023 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 2,7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 22,3658 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20453
API ID
15278436
Gamdom ID
555682
Torneo
UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20453,
"api_id": 15278436,
"gamdom_id": 555682,
"player1": "Ryan Nijboer",
"player2": "Julius Bult",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Arnhem Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-30T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 5.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 5.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7151,
"prob_p2": 0.2849,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7151,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.68,
"utr_ranking": 570,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 44,
"utr_v4_losses": 37,
"utr_v4_wr": 54.32098765432099,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.67,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.6,
"opponent_name": "Benjamin Winter Lopez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.5,
"opponent_name": "Pedro Araujo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.58,
"opponent_name": "Sean HODKIN"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.78,
"opponent_name": "Olle Wallin"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.04,
"opponent_name": "Aleksandr Braynin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:24.941351+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 1955,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 38,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.40677966101694,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.24,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luka Nikolic"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.33,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Bozemoj"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jurriaan Bol"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.24,
"opponent_name": "Lars Wagenaar"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Scott Houben"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:02.086710+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.68,
"ranking": 570,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 1955,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6788235294117646,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 2.7699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 22.365765038352844,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 63.82,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 71.2,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.2022830605757346,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.76866585067319,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 47.4,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 84,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.137609139126889,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}