Fons van Sambeek vs Parth Aggarwal
UTR PTT Bali Men +H 03 | Hard |
30 Dic 2025, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Fons van Sambeek
Fons …: 61,2% Parth …: 38,8%
¿Por qué Fons van Sambeek?
UTR 12,99 vs 11,93 (+1,04) — Ligera ventaja
Fons …
W36-L24
60% WR
vs UTR 12,4
W2
Parth …
W19-L27
41% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L4
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fons … Parth … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 0,99 8,82 101,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,63 2,58 61,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fons van Sambeek
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #1104
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Parth Aggarwal
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #1965
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Fons van Sambeek
Record 2025 36W - 24L (60%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Parth Aggarwal
Record 2025 19W - 27L (41%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Análisis Momentum
Fons van Sambeek ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,4 vs 11,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 6,6667
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -38,5710
first_serve_won_diff -51,6300
second_serve_won_diff -42,5200
bp_saved_diff -67,5000
bp_converted_diff -77,5000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 15,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,3536
serve_consistency_p2 7,2735
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0400
utr_p1 0,5788
utr_p2 0,4565
utr_advantage 8,3871
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20505
API ID 15275172
Gamdom ID 553880
Torneo UTR PTT Bali Men +H 03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20505,
    "api_id": 15275172,
    "gamdom_id": 553880,
    "player1": "Fons van Sambeek",
    "player2": "Parth Aggarwal",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bali Men +H 03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-30T03:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 0.99,
      "p2": 8.82
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 10.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6123,
    "prob_p2": 0.3877,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6123,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.99,
      "utr_ranking": 1104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.41,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Minhthien Nguyen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ehad Dina"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Elijah Sanogo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "M Rifqi Fitriadi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Junzhang Fu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:23.830996+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.93,
      "utr_ranking": 1965,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 19,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 41.30434782608695,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.84,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.63,
          "opponent_name": "Grigoriy Lomakin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.04,
          "opponent_name": "Jim Hendrikx"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.39,
          "opponent_name": "Alexey Aleshchev"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Raffael Gasanov"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Priyanshu Choudhary"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:08.494961+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.99,
      "ranking": 1104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.93,
      "ranking": 1965,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5788235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.4564705882352942,
    "utr_diff": 1.0399999999999991,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -67.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.387096774193541,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -77.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -38.571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -51.629999999999995,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.353603715551523,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.273471450030449,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -42.519999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}