Alexandre Muller vs Sebastián Báez
Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Final
24 Feb 2025, 00:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexandre … Sebastián … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking #52
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 11/20 = 55,0%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking #36
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 14/27 = 51,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -16,0000
rank_ratio 0,6923
log_rank_ratio -0,3677
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -410,0000
best_rank_diff -20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,1204
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,2655
surface_matches_ratio 0,8254
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,2500
surface_wr_p2 57,1296
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9286
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1940
p1_surface_matches 52,0000
p2_surface_matches 63,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1923
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,8815
first_serve_won_diff 4,4400
second_serve_won_diff 0,2800
bp_saved_diff 0,0500
bp_converted_diff 0,2200
aces_per_match_diff 0,7888
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7717
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8242
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5417
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5333
serve_consistency_p1 3,6916
serve_consistency_p2 3,3346
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0443
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0885
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0553
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8376
utr_p2 0,8376
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 2052
API ID 13463106
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rio de Janeiro
Superficie Clay
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 2052,
    "api_id": 13463106,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alexandre Muller",
    "player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
    "tournament": "Rio de Janeiro",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-02-23T20:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 36,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -410,
    "best_rank_diff": -20,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.1203703703703809,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.265458422174838,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8253968253968254,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.12962962962962,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.92857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.19402985074627,
    "p1_surface_matches": 52,
    "p2_surface_matches": 63,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.19230769230769232,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.8815462962962997,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.439999999999998,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.28000000000000824,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.05000000000000426,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.21999999999999176,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7887731481481479,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7717391304347826,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8241758241758241,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5416666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.6916051592332217,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.334640832492521,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.04426316797805133,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08850000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05529629629629618,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}